Match preview
Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt: projection vs result
Union St. Gilloise
27 in the table · 9 pts from 8
Bodo/Glimt
23 in the table · 9 pts from 8
3–3
Final
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Union St. Gilloise the more likely winner at 43%, against 33% for Bodo/Glimt and 24% for the draw. It projects 3.4 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 67%. Behind that: Union St. Gilloise have scored in 1 of 1 league games this season, Bodo/Glimt in 1 of 1. It finished Union St. Gilloise 3–3 Bodo/Glimt.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Union St. Gilloise win
43%
Draw
24%
Bodo/Glimt win
33%
What we said, and what happened
2 of 3 called correctly
Published before kickoff, scored afterwards. We leave the misses up.
- Total goalsProjected 3.4Actual 6Missed
- Both teams scoreProjected 67%Actual YesCalled
- Over 2.5 goalsProjected 66%Actual YesCalled
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.8 – 1.6
Total goals 3.4
Both teams score
67%
Over 2.5 goals
66%
Over 1.5 goals
86%
Union St. Gilloise clean sheet
21%
Bodo/Glimt clean sheet
16%
What stands out
Total goals 3.4
26% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Union St. Gilloise 2.2 scored / 1.3 conceded · Bodo/Glimt 2.4 / 1.0 per game
Shots
League average 12.5
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
P. David
Union St. Gilloise
34%
Shots
P. David
Union St. Gilloise
2.7
Union St. Gilloise · on target
P. David
Union St. Gilloise
1.5
Bodo/Glimt · on target
A. Helmersen
Bodo/Glimt
1.3
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Union St. Gilloise
At home- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Bodo/Glimt
Away- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Union St. Gilloise · Recent form
- D3-3Bodo/Glimt
- D1-1Club Brugge KV
- W2-1Lille
- W4-0Patro Eisden
- L3-7PSV Eindhoven
Bodo/Glimt · Recent form
- D3-3Union St. Gilloise
- W4-0Lillestrom
- W3-0Sandefjord
- W3-0Ham-Kam
- W1-0Fredrikstad
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt?
Golazo's model makes Union St. Gilloise the more likely winner at 43%, with the draw at 24%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 11%. The model projects 3.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 67%, and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
More Champions League matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.