Match preview
Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction
Kauno Žalgiris
Dinamo Zagreb
Tue, Aug 11, 01:00 PM
Kaunas
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Dinamo Zagreb the more likely winner at 46%, against 28% for Kauno Žalgiris and 26% for the draw. It projects 3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%, and puts both teams scoring at 60%. Behind that: Kauno Žalgiris have scored in 3 of 5 league games this season, Dinamo Zagreb in 3 of 3.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Kauno Žalgiris win
28%
Draw
26%
Dinamo Zagreb win
46%
What our model expects
No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.7
Total goals 3
Both teams score
60%
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Over 1.5 goals
81%
Kauno Žalgiris clean sheet
18%
Dinamo Zagreb clean sheet
28%
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
D. Beljo
Dinamo Zagreb
17%
Shots
D. Beljo
Dinamo Zagreb
1.9
Dinamo Zagreb · on target
D. Beljo
Dinamo Zagreb
0.8
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Kauno Žalgiris
At home- 2
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 0.5
- conceded
- Scored in 3 of 5
- Clean sheet in 50%
When their goals arrive
Dinamo Zagreb
Away- 1
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 3 of 3
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Kauno Žalgiris · Recent form
- L0-5Dinamo Zagreb
- W1-0KI Klaksvik
- D0-0KI Klaksvik
- W4-0Šiauliai
- W3-2Drita
Dinamo Zagreb · Recent form
- W5-0Kauno Žalgiris
- W2-0NK Slaven Belupo
- W3-2FC Thun
- D1-1FC Thun
- D0-0LNZ Cherkasy
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Golazo's model makes Dinamo Zagreb the more likely winner at 46%, with the draw at 26%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 12%. The model projects 3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 60%, and over 2.5 goals at 57%.
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