Match preview
Kalmar FF vs Hammarby FF prediction
Kalmar FF
Hammarby FFKalmar FF
11 in the table · 18 pts from 16
Hammarby FF
2 in the table · 30 pts from 16
Sun, Aug 16, 10:30 AM
Kalmar
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Hammarby FF the more likely winner at 51%, against 23% for Kalmar FF and 26% for the draw. It projects 2.8 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 55%. Behind that: Kalmar FF have scored in 11 of 16 league games this season, Hammarby FF in 14 of 16.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Kalmar FF win
23%
Draw
26%
Hammarby FF win
51%
What our model expects
No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.7
Total goals 2.8
Both teams score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Over 1.5 goals
78%
Kalmar FF clean sheet
18%
Hammarby FF clean sheet
34%
What stands out
Cards 3
33% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Kalmar FF 1.2 + Hammarby FF 1.8 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
P. Abraham
Hammarby FF
32%
Shots
N. Besara
Hammarby FF
2.7
Kalmar FF · on target
A. Olusanya
Kalmar FF
0.8
Hammarby FF · on target
N. Besara
Hammarby FF
1.3
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Kalmar FF
At home- 2.13
- pts/game
- 1.75
- scored
- 0.88
- conceded
- Scored in 11 of 16
- Clean sheet in 25%
When their goals arrive
Hammarby FF
Away- 1.14
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 1.43
- conceded
- Scored in 14 of 16
- Clean sheet in 14%
When their goals arrive
Kalmar FF · Recent form
- L2-3IFK Goteborg
- D1-1BK Hacken
- W2-1Mjallby AIF
- D2-2Malmo FF
- L0-2Hammarby FF
Hammarby FF · Recent form
- W3-0BK Hacken
- D0-0Raków Częstochowa
- L1-3Anderlecht
- D1-1IF Brommapojkarna
- D1-1Anderlecht
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Kalmar FF vs Hammarby FF?
Golazo's model makes Hammarby FF the more likely winner at 51%, with the draw at 26%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Kalmar FF vs Hammarby FF?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.8 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Kalmar FF vs Hammarby FF?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 55%, and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
More Allsvenskan matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.