Match preview

Kalmar FF vs Hammarby FF prediction

Kalmar FF
v
Hammarby FF
232651
Kalmar FFDrawHammarby FF
Goals expectedBoth teams score55%Over 2.5 goals52%Total goals2.8
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Kalmar FF

11 in the table · 18 pts from 16

Hammarby FF

2 in the table · 30 pts from 16

Sun, Aug 16, 10:30 AM

Kalmar

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Hammarby FF the more likely winner at 51%, against 23% for Kalmar FF and 26% for the draw. It projects 2.8 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 55%. Behind that: Kalmar FF have scored in 11 of 16 league games this season, Hammarby FF in 14 of 16.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Kalmar FF win

23%

Draw

26%

Hammarby FF win

51%

Most likely scorelines1113%1210%0110%

What our model expects

Kalmar FFPer gameHammarby FF
LDWDLLast 5WDLDD
2.13Points per game1.14
1.8Scored1.0
0.9Conceded1.4
1.1Expected goals1.7
1.2Cards1.8
4.3Corners5.4
11.4Shots14.3
49Possession51

No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.1 1.7

Total goals 2.8

Both teams score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

Over 1.5 goals

78%

Kalmar FF clean sheet

18%

Hammarby FF clean sheet

34%

What stands out

  • Cards 3

    33% below a typical match · League average 4.5

    Kalmar FF 1.2 + Hammarby FF 1.8 per game

Corners

League average 5

Kalmar FF4.3
Hammarby FF5.4

Cards

League average 2.25

Kalmar FF1.2
Hammarby FF1.8

Shots

League average 12.5

Kalmar FF11.4
Hammarby FF14.3

Possession

Kalmar FF49
Hammarby FF51

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

P. Abraham

Hammarby FF

32%

Shots

N. Besara

Hammarby FF

2.7

Kalmar FF · on target

A. Olusanya

Kalmar FF

0.8

Hammarby FF · on target

N. Besara

Hammarby FF

1.3

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Kalmar FF

At home
2.13
pts/game
1.75
scored
0.88
conceded
  • Scored in 11 of 16
  • Clean sheet in 25%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Hammarby FF

Away
1.14
pts/game
1
scored
1.43
conceded
  • Scored in 14 of 16
  • Clean sheet in 14%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Kalmar FF · Recent form

  • L2-3IFK Goteborg
  • D1-1BK Hacken
  • W2-1Mjallby AIF
  • D2-2Malmo FF
  • L0-2Hammarby FF

Hammarby FF · Recent form

  • W3-0BK Hacken
  • D0-0Raków Częstochowa
  • L1-3Anderlecht
  • D1-1IF Brommapojkarna
  • D1-1Anderlecht

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Kalmar FF vs Hammarby FF?

Golazo's model makes Hammarby FF the more likely winner at 51%, with the draw at 26%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Kalmar FF vs Hammarby FF?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.8 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Kalmar FF vs Hammarby FF?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 55%, and over 2.5 goals at 52%.

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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.