Match preview
IF Brommapojkarna vs Orgryte IS prediction
IF Brommapojkarna
Orgryte ISIF Brommapojkarna
12 in the table · 18 pts from 16
Orgryte IS
15 in the table · 13 pts from 16
Sun, Aug 16, 08:00 AM
Grimsta IP, Stockholm
The short answer
Golazo's model makes IF Brommapojkarna the more likely winner at 57%, against 21% for Orgryte IS and 23% for the draw. It projects 3.3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%, and puts both teams scoring at 62%. Behind that: IF Brommapojkarna have scored in 14 of 16 league games this season, Orgryte IS in 10 of 16.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
IF Brommapojkarna win
57%
Draw
23%
Orgryte IS win
21%
What our model expects
No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2.1 – 1.2
Total goals 3.3
Both teams score
62%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
IF Brommapojkarna clean sheet
30%
Orgryte IS clean sheet
12%
What stands out
Total goals 3.3
22% above a typical match · League average 2.7
IF Brommapojkarna 1.3 scored / 1.6 conceded · Orgryte IS 1.2 / 2.0 per game
Cards 3.4
24% below a typical match · League average 4.5
IF Brommapojkarna 1.7 + Orgryte IS 1.7 per game
Offsides 2.9
18% below a typical match · League average 3.5
IF Brommapojkarna 1.6 + Orgryte IS 1.3 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
N. Christoffersson
Orgryte IS
32%
Shots
N. Christoffersson
Orgryte IS
1.8
IF Brommapojkarna · on target
O. Berg
IF Brommapojkarna
0.7
Orgryte IS · on target
N. Christoffersson
Orgryte IS
1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
IF Brommapojkarna
At home- 0.86
- pts/game
- 1.14
- scored
- 1.43
- conceded
- Scored in 14 of 16
- Clean sheet in 14%
When their goals arrive
Orgryte IS
Away- 0.75
- pts/game
- 0.75
- scored
- 2.63
- conceded
- Scored in 10 of 16
- Clean sheet in 25%
When their goals arrive
IF Brommapojkarna · Recent form
- D2-2Sirius
- L1-2Malmo FF
- D1-1Hammarby FF
- L1-2IFK Goteborg
- L1-2Sirius
Orgryte IS · Recent form
- L3-4AIK Stockholm
- W3-0AIK Stockholm
- L0-2Vasteras SK FK
- D0-0Djurgardens IF
- W4-3BK Hacken
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win IF Brommapojkarna vs Orgryte IS?
Golazo's model makes IF Brommapojkarna the more likely winner at 57%, with the draw at 23%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in IF Brommapojkarna vs Orgryte IS?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 10%. The model projects 3.3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in IF Brommapojkarna vs Orgryte IS?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 62%, and over 2.5 goals at 64%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.