Match preview

IF Brommapojkarna vs Orgryte IS prediction

IF Brommapojkarna
v
Orgryte IS
572321
IF BrommapojkarnaDrawOrgryte IS
Goals expectedBoth teams score62%Over 2.5 goals64%Total goals3.3
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

IF Brommapojkarna

12 in the table · 18 pts from 16

Orgryte IS

15 in the table · 13 pts from 16

Sun, Aug 16, 08:00 AM

Grimsta IP, Stockholm

The short answer

Golazo's model makes IF Brommapojkarna the more likely winner at 57%, against 21% for Orgryte IS and 23% for the draw. It projects 3.3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%, and puts both teams scoring at 62%. Behind that: IF Brommapojkarna have scored in 14 of 16 league games this season, Orgryte IS in 10 of 16.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

IF Brommapojkarna win

57%

Draw

23%

Orgryte IS win

21%

Most likely scorelines1110%2110%208%

What our model expects

IF BrommapojkarnaPer gameOrgryte IS
DLDLLLast 5LWLDW
1.4Conceded2.6
2.1Expected goals1.2
1.1Scored0.8
0.86Points per game0.75
52Possession48
10.9Shots11.4
5.3Corners5.2
1.7Cards1.7

No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

2.1 1.2

Total goals 3.3

Both teams score

62%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

Over 1.5 goals

85%

IF Brommapojkarna clean sheet

30%

Orgryte IS clean sheet

12%

What stands out

  • Total goals 3.3

    22% above a typical match · League average 2.7

    IF Brommapojkarna 1.3 scored / 1.6 conceded · Orgryte IS 1.2 / 2.0 per game

  • Cards 3.4

    24% below a typical match · League average 4.5

    IF Brommapojkarna 1.7 + Orgryte IS 1.7 per game

  • Offsides 2.9

    18% below a typical match · League average 3.5

    IF Brommapojkarna 1.6 + Orgryte IS 1.3 per game

Corners

League average 5

IF Brommapojkarna5.3
Orgryte IS5.2

Cards

League average 2.25

IF Brommapojkarna1.7
Orgryte IS1.7

Shots

League average 12.5

IF Brommapojkarna10.9
Orgryte IS11.4

Possession

IF Brommapojkarna52
Orgryte IS48

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

N. Christoffersson

Orgryte IS

32%

Shots

N. Christoffersson

Orgryte IS

1.8

IF Brommapojkarna · on target

O. Berg

IF Brommapojkarna

0.7

Orgryte IS · on target

N. Christoffersson

Orgryte IS

1

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

IF Brommapojkarna

At home
0.86
pts/game
1.14
scored
1.43
conceded
  • Scored in 14 of 16
  • Clean sheet in 14%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Orgryte IS

Away
0.75
pts/game
0.75
scored
2.63
conceded
  • Scored in 10 of 16
  • Clean sheet in 25%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

IF Brommapojkarna · Recent form

  • D2-2Sirius
  • L1-2Malmo FF
  • D1-1Hammarby FF
  • L1-2IFK Goteborg
  • L1-2Sirius

Orgryte IS · Recent form

  • L3-4AIK Stockholm
  • W3-0AIK Stockholm
  • L0-2Vasteras SK FK
  • D0-0Djurgardens IF
  • W4-3BK Hacken

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win IF Brommapojkarna vs Orgryte IS?

Golazo's model makes IF Brommapojkarna the more likely winner at 57%, with the draw at 23%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in IF Brommapojkarna vs Orgryte IS?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 10%. The model projects 3.3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in IF Brommapojkarna vs Orgryte IS?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 62%, and over 2.5 goals at 64%.

More Allsvenskan matches

All Allsvenskan fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.