Match preview
Vasteras SK FK vs Djurgardens IF prediction
Vasteras SK FK
7 in the table · 22 pts from 15
Djurgardens IF
3 in the table · 26 pts from 14
Mon, Aug 10, 01:00 PM
Hitachi Energy Arena, Vasteras
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Djurgardens IF the more likely winner at 62%, against 16% for Vasteras SK FK and 22% for the draw. It projects 3.1 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%, and puts both teams scoring at 56%. Behind that: Vasteras SK FK have scored in 11 of 15 league games this season, Djurgardens IF in 12 of 14.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Vasteras SK FK win
16%
Draw
22%
Djurgardens IF win
62%
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1 – 2.1
Total goals 3.1
Both teams score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Over 1.5 goals
83%
Vasteras SK FK clean sheet
12%
Djurgardens IF clean sheet
37%
What stands out
Cards 3.8
16% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Vasteras SK FK 2.0 + Djurgardens IF 1.8 per game
Total goals 3.1
15% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Vasteras SK FK 1.4 scored / 1.5 conceded · Djurgardens IF 2.0 / 0.8 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
K. Lien
Djurgardens IF
38%
Shots
M. Ladefoged
Vasteras SK FK
2.1
Vasteras SK FK · on target
M. Ladefoged
Vasteras SK FK
1
Djurgardens IF · on target
K. Lien
Djurgardens IF
1.2
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Vasteras SK FK
At home- 1.29
- pts/game
- 2
- scored
- 1.71
- conceded
- Scored in 11 of 15
- Clean sheet in 29%
When their goals arrive
Djurgardens IF
Away- 2.17
- pts/game
- 1.83
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 12 of 14
- Clean sheet in 50%
When their goals arrive
Vasteras SK FK · Recent form
- L0-6Djurgardens IF
- W2-0Orgryte IS
- D0-0Mjallby AIF
- W2-0Degerfors IF
- W3-1Halmstad
Djurgardens IF · Recent form
- W6-0Vasteras SK FK
- W1-0Degerfors IF
- D0-0Orgryte IS
- W3-0Halmstad
- W4-2BK Hacken
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Vasteras SK FK vs Djurgardens IF?
Golazo's model makes Djurgardens IF the more likely winner at 62%, with the draw at 22%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Vasteras SK FK vs Djurgardens IF?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 10%. The model projects 3.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Vasteras SK FK vs Djurgardens IF?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 56%, and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
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