Match preview
IF Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK prediction
IF Elfsborg
Vasteras SK FK
IF Elfsborg
6 in the table · 24 pts from 16
Vasteras SK FK
9 in the table · 22 pts from 15
Fri, Aug 14, 01:00 PM
Allsvenskan
The short answer
Golazo's model makes IF Elfsborg the more likely winner at 49%, against 24% for Vasteras SK FK and 26% for the draw. It projects 2.9 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%, and puts both teams scoring at 57%. Behind that: IF Elfsborg have scored in 15 of 16 league games this season, Vasteras SK FK in 11 of 15.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
IF Elfsborg win
49%
Draw
26%
Vasteras SK FK win
24%
What our model expects
IF ElfsborgPer gameVasteras SK FKNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.7 – 1.2
Total goals 2.9
Both teams score
57%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Over 1.5 goals
79%
IF Elfsborg clean sheet
32%
Vasteras SK FK clean sheet
18%
What stands out
Cards 3.4
23% below a typical match · League average 4.5
IF Elfsborg 1.4 + Vasteras SK FK 2.0 per game
Offsides 4
14% above a typical match · League average 3.5
IF Elfsborg 2.4 + Vasteras SK FK 1.6 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
M. Ladefoged
Vasteras SK FK
26%
Shots
M. Ladefoged
Vasteras SK FK
2.1
IF Elfsborg · on target
A. Sigurpálsson
IF Elfsborg
0.8
Vasteras SK FK · on target
M. Ladefoged
Vasteras SK FK
1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
IF Elfsborg
At home- 1.5
- pts/game
- 1.38
- scored
- 1.13
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 16
- Clean sheet in 25%
When their goals arrive
Vasteras SK FK
Away- 1.63
- pts/game
- 1.25
- scored
- 2.13
- conceded
- Scored in 11 of 15
- Clean sheet in 25%
When their goals arrive
IF Elfsborg · Recent form
- W1-0Mjallby AIF
- W2-1Malmo FF
- L1-3Sirius
- L0-1Gais
- L1-2Hammarby FF
Vasteras SK FK · Recent form
- L0-6Djurgardens IF
- W2-0Orgryte IS
- D0-0Mjallby AIF
- W2-0Degerfors IF
- W3-1Halmstad
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win IF Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK?
Golazo's model makes IF Elfsborg the more likely winner at 49%, with the draw at 26%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in IF Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 12%. The model projects 2.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in IF Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 57%, and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
More Allsvenskan matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.