Match preview
Degerfors IF vs IFK Goteborg prediction
Degerfors IF
IFK GoteborgDegerfors IF
14 in the table · 13 pts from 16
IFK Goteborg
10 in the table · 19 pts from 16
Sun, Aug 16, 08:00 AM
Stora Valla, Degerfors
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Degerfors IF the more likely winner at 40%, against 33% for IFK Goteborg and 27% for the draw. It projects 2.8 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 59%. Behind that: Degerfors IF have scored in 9 of 16 league games this season, IFK Goteborg in 11 of 16.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Degerfors IF win
40%
Draw
27%
IFK Goteborg win
33%
What our model expects
No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.3
Total goals 2.8
Both teams score
59%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Over 1.5 goals
79%
Degerfors IF clean sheet
26%
IFK Goteborg clean sheet
22%
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
S. Larsson
IFK Goteborg
28%
Shots
T. Heintz
IFK Goteborg
2.2
Degerfors IF · on target
M. Rafferty
Degerfors IF
0.7
IFK Goteborg · on target
T. Heintz
IFK Goteborg
1.1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Degerfors IF
At home- 0.63
- pts/game
- 0.75
- scored
- 1.75
- conceded
- Scored in 9 of 16
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
IFK Goteborg
Away- 1
- pts/game
- 1.38
- scored
- 3
- conceded
- Scored in 11 of 16
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Degerfors IF · Recent form
- W2-1Malmo FF
- L0-2IFK Goteborg
- L0-1Djurgardens IF
- L0-4Hammarby FF
- L0-2Vasteras SK FK
IFK Goteborg · Recent form
- W3-2Kalmar FF
- L0-1Gent
- W2-0Degerfors IF
- W3-1FC Levadia Tallinn
- L1-4Sirius
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Degerfors IF vs IFK Goteborg?
Golazo's model makes Degerfors IF the more likely winner at 40%, with the draw at 27%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Degerfors IF vs IFK Goteborg?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.8 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Degerfors IF vs IFK Goteborg?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 59%, and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.