Match preview

Degerfors IF vs IFK Goteborg prediction

Degerfors IF
v
IFK Goteborg
402733
Degerfors IFDrawIFK Goteborg
Goals expectedBoth teams score59%Over 2.5 goals54%Total goals2.8
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Degerfors IF

14 in the table · 13 pts from 16

IFK Goteborg

10 in the table · 19 pts from 16

Sun, Aug 16, 08:00 AM

Stora Valla, Degerfors

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Degerfors IF the more likely winner at 40%, against 33% for IFK Goteborg and 27% for the draw. It projects 2.8 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 59%. Behind that: Degerfors IF have scored in 9 of 16 league games this season, IFK Goteborg in 11 of 16.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Degerfors IF win

40%

Draw

27%

IFK Goteborg win

33%

Most likely scorelines1113%219%128%

What our model expects

Degerfors IFPer gameIFK Goteborg
WLLLLLast 5WLWWL
0.8Scored1.4
1.8Conceded3.0
0.63Points per game1.00
11.2Shots13.9
1.5Expected goals1.3
47Possession53
2.3Cards2.1
5.1Corners5.1

No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.5 1.3

Total goals 2.8

Both teams score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

Over 1.5 goals

79%

Degerfors IF clean sheet

26%

IFK Goteborg clean sheet

22%

Corners

League average 5

Degerfors IF5.1
IFK Goteborg5.1

Cards

League average 2.25

Degerfors IF2.3
IFK Goteborg2.1

Shots

League average 12.5

Degerfors IF11.2
IFK Goteborg13.9

Possession

Degerfors IF47
IFK Goteborg53

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

S. Larsson

IFK Goteborg

28%

Shots

T. Heintz

IFK Goteborg

2.2

Degerfors IF · on target

M. Rafferty

Degerfors IF

0.7

IFK Goteborg · on target

T. Heintz

IFK Goteborg

1.1

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Degerfors IF

At home
0.63
pts/game
0.75
scored
1.75
conceded
  • Scored in 9 of 16
  • Clean sheet in 0%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

IFK Goteborg

Away
1
pts/game
1.38
scored
3
conceded
  • Scored in 11 of 16
  • Clean sheet in 0%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Degerfors IF · Recent form

  • W2-1Malmo FF
  • L0-2IFK Goteborg
  • L0-1Djurgardens IF
  • L0-4Hammarby FF
  • L0-2Vasteras SK FK

IFK Goteborg · Recent form

  • W3-2Kalmar FF
  • L0-1Gent
  • W2-0Degerfors IF
  • W3-1FC Levadia Tallinn
  • L1-4Sirius

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Degerfors IF vs IFK Goteborg?

Golazo's model makes Degerfors IF the more likely winner at 40%, with the draw at 27%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Degerfors IF vs IFK Goteborg?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.8 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Degerfors IF vs IFK Goteborg?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 59%, and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

More Allsvenskan matches

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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.