Match preview
Gais vs Malmo FF prediction
Gais
Malmo FF
Gais
8 in the table · 23 pts from 16
Malmo FF
9 in the table · 23 pts from 16
Sun, Aug 16, 10:30 AM
Gamla Ullevi
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Gais the more likely winner at 45%, against 27% for Malmo FF and 27% for the draw. It projects 2.8 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 56%. Behind that: Gais have scored in 13 of 16 league games this season, Malmo FF in 16 of 16.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Gais win
45%
Draw
27%
Malmo FF win
27%
What our model expects
GaisPer gameMalmo FFNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.2
Total goals 2.8
Both teams score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Over 1.5 goals
77%
Gais clean sheet
31%
Malmo FF clean sheet
21%
What stands out
Fouls 25.9
23% above a typical match · League average 21
Gais 11.7 + Malmo FF 14.2 per game
Offsides 3
15% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Gais 1.9 + Malmo FF 1.1 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
E. Botheim
Malmo FF
23%
Shots
S. Salter
Gais
2.1
Gais · on target
S. Salter
Gais
0.9
Malmo FF · on target
E. Botheim
Malmo FF
0.8
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Gais
At home- 1.88
- pts/game
- 1.5
- scored
- 0.38
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 16
- Clean sheet in 63%
When their goals arrive
Malmo FF
Away- 1.75
- pts/game
- 1.38
- scored
- 1.38
- conceded
- Scored in 16 of 16
- Clean sheet in 38%
When their goals arrive
Gais · Recent form
- W2-0Halmstad
- L0-6FC Nordsjaelland
- D1-1Halmstad
- W1-0FC Nordsjaelland
- L0-2AIK Stockholm
Malmo FF · Recent form
- L1-2Degerfors IF
- W2-1IF Brommapojkarna
- L1-2IF Elfsborg
- D2-2Kalmar FF
- W4-0IFK Goteborg
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Gais vs Malmo FF?
Golazo's model makes Gais the more likely winner at 45%, with the draw at 27%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Gais vs Malmo FF?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.8 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Gais vs Malmo FF?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 56%, and over 2.5 goals at 52%.
More Allsvenskan matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.