Match preview
Sirius vs IF Brommapojkarna prediction
Sirius
1 in the table · 41 pts from 15
IF Brommapojkarna
12 in the table · 17 pts from 15
Mon, Aug 10, 01:00 PM
Studenternas IP, Uppsala
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Sirius the more likely winner at 71%, against 11% for IF Brommapojkarna and 17% for the draw. It projects 3.6 goals in total, with 2-0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%, and puts both teams scoring at 59%. Behind that: Sirius have scored in 15 of 15 league games this season, IF Brommapojkarna in 13 of 15.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Sirius win
71%
Draw
17%
IF Brommapojkarna win
11%
What our model expects
Anchored to the de-vigged consensus of 43 bookmakers, then expanded into the full picture they don't publish: every scoreline, both teams to score, clean sheets. We tested our own goal model against the market over 1,420 matches and the market won, so this starts from the sharper number. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2.6 – 1
Total goals 3.6
Both teams score
59%
Over 2.5 goals
70%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Sirius clean sheet
37%
IF Brommapojkarna clean sheet
7%
What stands out
Total goals 3.6
33% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Sirius 2.2 scored / 1.1 conceded · IF Brommapojkarna 1.2 / 1.6 per game
Cards 3.1
31% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Sirius 1.6 + IF Brommapojkarna 1.6 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
R. Ure
Sirius
48%
Shots
I. Bjerkebo
Sirius
2.1
Sirius · on target
I. Bjerkebo
Sirius
1.4
IF Brommapojkarna · on target
O. Berg
IF Brommapojkarna
0.8
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Sirius
At home- 2.71
- pts/game
- 3
- scored
- 1.29
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 15
- Clean sheet in 29%
When their goals arrive
IF Brommapojkarna
Away- 1.38
- pts/game
- 1.5
- scored
- 1.75
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 15
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Sirius · Recent form
- W2-0Halmstad
- W4-1IFK Goteborg
- W3-1IF Elfsborg
- W2-1IF Brommapojkarna
- D4-4Mjallby AIF
IF Brommapojkarna · Recent form
- L1-2Malmo FF
- D1-1Hammarby FF
- L1-2IFK Goteborg
- L1-2Sirius
- D1-1Gais
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Sirius vs IF Brommapojkarna?
Golazo's model makes Sirius the more likely winner at 71%, with the draw at 17%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Sirius vs IF Brommapojkarna?
The single most likely scoreline is 2-0, at 9%. The model projects 3.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Sirius vs IF Brommapojkarna?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 59%, and over 2.5 goals at 70%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.