Match preview
Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia prediction
Kairat Almaty
36 in the table · 1 pts from 8
Levski Sofia
Tue, Aug 11, 11:00 AM
Turkestan Arena, Turkestan
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: Kairat Almaty 34%, the draw 32%, Levski Sofia 34%. It projects 2.2 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 45%. Behind that: Kairat Almaty have scored in 3 of 5 league games this season, Levski Sofia in 5 of 5.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Kairat Almaty win
34%
Draw
32%
Levski Sofia win
34%
What our model expects
No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.1
Total goals 2.2
Both teams score
45%
Over 2.5 goals
37%
Over 1.5 goals
65%
Kairat Almaty clean sheet
33%
Levski Sofia clean sheet
34%
What stands out
Total goals 2.2
19% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Kairat Almaty 1.7 scored / 1.0 conceded · Levski Sofia 1.9 / 0.6 per game
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Ricardinho
Kairat Almaty
17%
Shots
Edmilson
Kairat Almaty
1.5
Kairat Almaty · on target
Ricardinho
Kairat Almaty
0.7
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Kairat Almaty
At home- 3
- pts/game
- 2
- scored
- 0.5
- conceded
- Scored in 3 of 5
- Clean sheet in 50%
When their goals arrive
Levski Sofia
Away- 1
- pts/game
- 1.5
- scored
- 1.5
- conceded
- Scored in 5 of 5
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Kairat Almaty · Recent form
- L0-1Levski Sofia
- W1-0Omonia Nicosia
- W2-1Ordabasy
- L0-1Omonia Nicosia
- W3-1Atyrau
Levski Sofia · Recent form
- W1-0Kairat Almaty
- W3-0Septemvri Sofia
- D2-2Universitatea Craiova
- W2-1Lokomotiv Sofia
- W1-0Universitatea Craiova
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Kairat Almaty 34%, the draw 32%, Levski Sofia 34%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 15%. The model projects 2.2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 45%, and over 2.5 goals at 37%.
More Champions League matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.