Match preview
Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF prediction
Malmo FF
5 in the table · 23 pts from 15
Degerfors IF
15 in the table · 10 pts from 15
Sun, Aug 9, 08:00 AM
Eleda Stadion
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Malmo FF the more likely winner at 63%, against 15% for Degerfors IF and 21% for the draw. It projects 3.1 goals in total, with 2-0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%, and puts both teams scoring at 56%. Behind that: Malmo FF have scored in 15 of 15 league games this season, Degerfors IF in 8 of 15.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Malmo FF win
63%
Draw
21%
Degerfors IF win
15%
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2.2 – 1
Total goals 3.1
Both teams score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
61%
Over 1.5 goals
83%
Malmo FF clean sheet
38%
Degerfors IF clean sheet
12%
What stands out
Fouls 25.4
21% above a typical match · League average 21
Malmo FF 13.9 + Degerfors IF 11.6 per game
Total goals 3.1
16% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Malmo FF 1.7 scored / 1.6 conceded · Degerfors IF 1.1 / 1.7 per game
match.offsides 3
15% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Malmo FF 1.2 + Degerfors IF 1.8 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
E. Botheim
Malmo FF
40%
Shots
S. Hakšabanović
Malmo FF
1.7
Malmo FF · on target
E. Botheim
Malmo FF
0.9
Degerfors IF · on target
M. Rafferty
Degerfors IF
0.7
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Malmo FF
At home- 1.29
- pts/game
- 2.71
- scored
- 2
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 15
- Clean sheet in 14%
When their goals arrive
Degerfors IF
Away- 0.71
- pts/game
- 0.86
- scored
- 1.71
- conceded
- Scored in 8 of 15
- Clean sheet in 14%
When their goals arrive
Malmo FF · Recent form
- W2-1IF Brommapojkarna
- L1-2IF Elfsborg
- D2-2Kalmar FF
- W4-0IFK Goteborg
- W1-0Degerfors IF
Degerfors IF · Recent form
- L0-2IFK Goteborg
- L0-1Djurgardens IF
- L0-4Hammarby FF
- L0-2Vasteras SK FK
- L0-1Malmo FF
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF?
Golazo's model makes Malmo FF the more likely winner at 63%, with the draw at 21%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF?
The single most likely scoreline is 2-0, at 10%. The model projects 3.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Malmo FF vs Degerfors IF?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 56%, and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
More Allsvenskan matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.