Match preview
Orgryte IS vs AIK Stockholm prediction
Orgryte IS
14 in the table · 13 pts from 15
AIK Stockholm
6 in the table · 22 pts from 15
Sat, Aug 8, 09:00 AM
Gamla Ullevi
The short answer
Golazo's model makes AIK Stockholm the more likely winner at 44%, against 30% for Orgryte IS and 26% for the draw. It projects 3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%, and puts both teams scoring at 62%.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Orgryte IS win
30%
Draw
26%
AIK Stockholm win
44%
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.7
Total goals 3
Both teams score
62%
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Over 1.5 goals
82%
Orgryte IS clean sheet
18%
AIK Stockholm clean sheet
26%
What stands out
Cards 3.4
23% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Orgryte IS 1.8 + AIK Stockholm 1.7 per game
Total goals 3
13% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Orgryte IS 1.3 scored / 1.7 conceded · AIK Stockholm 1.4 / 1.2 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
N. Christoffersson
Orgryte IS
31%
Shots
Z. Yohanna
AIK Stockholm
2.1
Orgryte IS · on target
N. Christoffersson
Orgryte IS
1
AIK Stockholm · on target
B. Celina
AIK Stockholm
0.8
Orgryte IS · Recent form
- W3-0AIK Stockholm
- L0-2Vasteras SK FK
- D0-0Djurgardens IF
- W4-3BK Hacken
- L0-3Kalmar FF
AIK Stockholm · Recent form
- L0-3Orgryte IS
- D0-0BK Hacken
- W2-0Gais
- W2-1Mjallby AIF
- W2-1IFK Goteborg
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Orgryte IS vs AIK Stockholm?
Golazo's model makes AIK Stockholm the more likely winner at 44%, with the draw at 26%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Orgryte IS vs AIK Stockholm?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 12%. The model projects 3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Orgryte IS vs AIK Stockholm?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 62%, and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
More Allsvenskan matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.