Match preview

IFK Goteborg vs Kalmar FF prediction

IFK Goteborg

13 in the table · 16 pts from 15

Kalmar FF

10 in the table · 18 pts from 15

Sun, Aug 9, 10:30 AM

Gamla Ullevi

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Kalmar FF the more likely winner at 47%, against 27% for IFK Goteborg and 25% for the draw. It projects 3.1 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 63%.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

IFK Goteborg win

27%

Draw

25%

Kalmar FF win

47%

Most likely scorelines1111%129%027%

What our model expects

Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.3 1.8

Total goals 3.1

Both teams score

63%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

Over 1.5 goals

83%

IFK Goteborg clean sheet

16%

Kalmar FF clean sheet

26%

What stands out

  • Cards 3.4

    25% below a typical match · League average 4.5

    IFK Goteborg 2.3 + Kalmar FF 1.1 per game

  • Total goals 3.1

    16% above a typical match · League average 2.7

    IFK Goteborg 1.4 scored / 1.7 conceded · Kalmar FF 1.5 / 1.1 per game

Corners

League average 5

IFK Goteborg5.5
Kalmar FF4.4

Cards

League average 2.25

IFK Goteborg2.3
Kalmar FF1.1

Shots

League average 12.5

IFK Goteborg16.7
Kalmar FF11

Possession

IFK Goteborg51
Kalmar FF49

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

T. Heintz

IFK Goteborg

26%

Shots

T. Heintz

IFK Goteborg

2.2

IFK Goteborg · on target

T. Heintz

IFK Goteborg

1.1

Kalmar FF · on target

A. Olusanya

Kalmar FF

0.8

IFK Goteborg · Recent form

  • W2-0Degerfors IF
  • W3-1FC Levadia Tallinn
  • L1-4Sirius
  • L1-2FC Levadia Tallinn
  • W2-1IF Brommapojkarna

Kalmar FF · Recent form

  • D1-1BK Hacken
  • W2-1Mjallby AIF
  • D2-2Malmo FF
  • L0-2Hammarby FF
  • W3-0Orgryte IS

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win IFK Goteborg vs Kalmar FF?

Golazo's model makes Kalmar FF the more likely winner at 47%, with the draw at 25%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in IFK Goteborg vs Kalmar FF?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 11%. The model projects 3.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in IFK Goteborg vs Kalmar FF?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 63%, and over 2.5 goals at 61%.

More Allsvenskan matches

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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.