Match preview

Hammarby FF vs BK Hacken prediction

Hammarby FF

2 in the table · 27 pts from 15

BK Hacken

4 in the table · 25 pts from 15

Sun, Aug 9, 08:00 AM

3Arena, Stockholm

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Hammarby FF the more likely winner at 66%, against 15% for BK Hacken and 19% for the draw. It projects 3.6 goals in total, with 2-1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%, and puts both teams scoring at 62%.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Hammarby FF win

66%

Draw

19%

BK Hacken win

15%

Most likely scorelines219%209%118%

What our model expects

Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

2.5 1.1

Total goals 3.6

Both teams score

62%

Over 2.5 goals

69%

Over 1.5 goals

88%

Hammarby FF clean sheet

33%

BK Hacken clean sheet

9%

What stands out

  • match.offsides 2.1

    40% below a typical match · League average 3.5

    Hammarby FF 1.0 + BK Hacken 1.1 per game

  • Total goals 3.6

    32% above a typical match · League average 2.7

    Hammarby FF 1.6 scored / 1.1 conceded · BK Hacken 1.4 / 1.8 per game

  • Cards 3.6

    20% below a typical match · League average 4.5

    Hammarby FF 1.8 + BK Hacken 1.8 per game

Corners

League average 5

Hammarby FF5.6
BK Hacken4.5

Cards

League average 2.25

Hammarby FF1.8
BK Hacken1.8

Shots

League average 12.5

Hammarby FF16.3
BK Hacken12.7

Possession

Hammarby FF51
BK Hacken49

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

P. Abraham

Hammarby FF

45%

Shots

N. Besara

Hammarby FF

2.7

Hammarby FF · on target

N. Besara

Hammarby FF

1.3

BK Hacken · on target

Julius Lindberg

BK Hacken

1.1

Hammarby FF · Recent form

  • L1-3Anderlecht
  • D1-1IF Brommapojkarna
  • D1-1Anderlecht
  • W4-0Degerfors IF
  • W2-0Kalmar FF

BK Hacken · Recent form

  • D1-1Kalmar FF
  • D0-0AIK Stockholm
  • W2-0Halmstad
  • L3-4Orgryte IS
  • L2-4Djurgardens IF

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Hammarby FF vs BK Hacken?

Golazo's model makes Hammarby FF the more likely winner at 66%, with the draw at 19%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Hammarby FF vs BK Hacken?

The single most likely scoreline is 2-1, at 9%. The model projects 3.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Hammarby FF vs BK Hacken?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 62%, and over 2.5 goals at 69%.

More Allsvenskan matches

All Allsvenskan fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.