Match preview
FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva prediction
FK Crvena Zvezda
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Tue, Aug 11, 02:00 PM
Stadion Rajko Mit, Belgrade
The short answer
Golazo's model makes FK Crvena Zvezda the more likely winner at 51%, against 22% for Hapoel Beer Sheva and 27% for the draw. It projects 2.6 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 52%. Behind that: FK Crvena Zvezda have scored in 2 of 3 league games this season, Hapoel Beer Sheva in 3 of 3.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
FK Crvena Zvezda win
51%
Draw
27%
Hapoel Beer Sheva win
22%
What our model expects
No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.6 – 1
Total goals 2.6
Both teams score
52%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
FK Crvena Zvezda clean sheet
37%
Hapoel Beer Sheva clean sheet
19%
Shots
League average 12.5
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
D. Biton
Hapoel Beer Sheva
22%
Shots
D. Biton
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.4
FK Crvena Zvezda · on target
Bruno Duarte
FK Crvena Zvezda
1
Hapoel Beer Sheva · on target
D. Biton
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.3
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
FK Crvena Zvezda
At home- 3
- pts/game
- 5
- scored
- 0
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 3
- Clean sheet in 100%
When their goals arrive
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Away- 0
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 2
- conceded
- Scored in 3 of 3
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
FK Crvena Zvezda · Recent form
- L0-1Hapoel Beer Sheva
- W5-0Larne
- W3-1Vojvodina
- W4-0Larne
- W5-0Macva
Hapoel Beer Sheva · Recent form
- W1-0FK Crvena Zvezda
- W2-0Vikingur Reykjavik
- L1-2Vikingur Reykjavik
- L1-3Maccabi Tel Aviv
- L1-3Legia Warszawa
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Golazo's model makes FK Crvena Zvezda the more likely winner at 51%, with the draw at 27%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 52%, and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
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