Match preview
Fenerbahçe vs Lyon prediction
Fenerbahçe
Lyon
Fenerbahçe
Lyon
Tue, Aug 18, 03:00 PM
Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu, Istanbul
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Fenerbahçe the more likely winner at 46%, against 24% for Lyon and 29% for the draw. It projects 2.4 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 48%. Behind that: Fenerbahçe have scored in 4 of 4 league games this season, Lyon in 2 of 2.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Fenerbahçe win
46%
Draw
29%
Lyon win
24%
What our model expects
FenerbahçePer gameLyonNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.4 – 1
Total goals 2.4
Both teams score
48%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Over 1.5 goals
70%
Fenerbahçe clean sheet
38%
Lyon clean sheet
24%
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Talisca
Fenerbahçe
27%
Shots
Talisca
Fenerbahçe
2.7
Fenerbahçe · on target
Talisca
Fenerbahçe
1.6
Lyon · on target
C. Tolisso
Lyon
0.5
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Fenerbahçe
At home- 3
- pts/game
- 1.5
- scored
- 0
- conceded
- Scored in 4 of 4
- Clean sheet in 100%
When their goals arrive
Lyon
Away- 0
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 2
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 2
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Fenerbahçe · Recent form
- W1-0Sturm Graz
- W2-0Sturm Graz
- D1-1Gornik Zabrze
- W1-0Gornik Zabrze
- W2-1Lask Linz
Lyon · Recent form
- W3-0Sparta Praha
- L1-2Sparta Praha
- L0-4Real Betis
- W2-0VfL Wolfsburg
- L0-2Slavia Praha
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Fenerbahçe vs Lyon?
Golazo's model makes Fenerbahçe the more likely winner at 46%, with the draw at 29%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Fenerbahçe vs Lyon?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Fenerbahçe vs Lyon?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 48%, and over 2.5 goals at 43%.
More Champions League matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.