Match preview
Celje vs Ararat-Armenia prediction
Celje
Ararat-Armenia
Tue, Aug 11, 02:15 PM
Celje
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: Celje 38%, the draw 27%, Ararat-Armenia 35%. It projects 2.9 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 60%. Behind that: Celje have scored in 3 of 3 league games this season, Ararat-Armenia in 5 of 5.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Celje win
38%
Draw
27%
Ararat-Armenia win
35%
What our model expects
No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.4
Total goals 2.9
Both teams score
60%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
Celje clean sheet
24%
Ararat-Armenia clean sheet
22%
Shots
League average 12.5
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
F. Kovačević
Celje
35%
Shots
F. Kovačević
Celje
2.3
Celje · on target
F. Kovačević
Celje
1.5
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Celje
At home- 3
- pts/game
- 3
- scored
- 2
- conceded
- Scored in 3 of 3
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Ararat-Armenia
Away- 0
- pts/game
- 1.5
- scored
- 2.5
- conceded
- Scored in 5 of 5
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Celje · Recent form
- L1-2Ararat-Armenia
- D1-1Maribor
- D1-1Egnatia Rrogozhinë
- D3-3Egnatia Rrogozhinë
- D2-2Mura
Ararat-Armenia · Recent form
- W2-1Celje
- W4-3Gandzasar
- L1-2Shamrock Rovers
- W2-0Shamrock Rovers
- L2-3Riga
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Celje vs Ararat-Armenia?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Celje 38%, the draw 27%, Ararat-Armenia 35%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in Celje vs Ararat-Armenia?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Celje vs Ararat-Armenia?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 60%, and over 2.5 goals at 56%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.