Match preview
Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise prediction
Bodo/Glimt
Union St. Gilloise
Bodo/Glimt
23 in the table · 9 pts from 8
Union St. Gilloise
27 in the table · 9 pts from 8
Tue, Aug 11, 12:00 PM
Aspmyra Stadion
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Bodo/Glimt the more likely winner at 46%, against 30% for Union St. Gilloise and 24% for the draw. It projects 3.4 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%, and puts both teams scoring at 67%. Behind that: Bodo/Glimt have scored in 1 of 1 league games this season, Union St. Gilloise in 1 of 1.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Bodo/Glimt win
46%
Draw
24%
Union St. Gilloise win
30%
What our model expects
Bodo/GlimtPer gameUnion St. GilloiseNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.9 – 1.5
Total goals 3.4
Both teams score
67%
Over 2.5 goals
66%
Over 1.5 goals
86%
Bodo/Glimt clean sheet
22%
Union St. Gilloise clean sheet
15%
What stands out
Total goals 3.4
26% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Bodo/Glimt 2.4 scored / 1.0 conceded · Union St. Gilloise 2.2 / 1.3 per game
Shots
League average 12.5
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
P. David
Union St. Gilloise
29%
Shots
P. David
Union St. Gilloise
2.7
Bodo/Glimt · on target
A. Helmersen
Bodo/Glimt
1.3
Union St. Gilloise · on target
P. David
Union St. Gilloise
1.5
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Bodo/Glimt
At home- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Union St. Gilloise
Away- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Bodo/Glimt · Recent form
- D3-3Union St. Gilloise
- W4-0Lillestrom
- W3-0Sandefjord
- W3-0Ham-Kam
- W1-0Fredrikstad
Union St. Gilloise · Recent form
- D3-3Bodo/Glimt
- D1-1Club Brugge KV
- W2-1Lille
- W4-0Patro Eisden
- L3-7PSV Eindhoven
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise?
Golazo's model makes Bodo/Glimt the more likely winner at 46%, with the draw at 24%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 10%. The model projects 3.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 67%, and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
More Champions League matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.