Match preview
Corinthians vs Rosario Central prediction
Corinthians
Rosario Central
Corinthians
Rosario Central
Thu, Aug 20, 08:30 PM
Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: Corinthians 31%, the draw 36%, Rosario Central 33%. It projects 1.7 goals in total, with 0-0 the single most likely scoreline at 19%, and puts both teams scoring at 35%. Behind that: Corinthians have scored in 5 of 7 league games this season, Rosario Central in 4 of 7.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Corinthians win
31%
Draw
36%
Rosario Central win
33%
What our model expects
CorinthiansPer gameRosario CentralNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
0.8 – 0.9
Total goals 1.7
Both teams score
35%
Over 2.5 goals
25%
Over 1.5 goals
53%
Corinthians clean sheet
42%
Rosario Central clean sheet
43%
What stands out
Total goals 1.7
36% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Corinthians 1.3 scored / 1.1 conceded · Rosario Central 1.3 / 0.9 per game
Cards 5.3
18% above a typical match · League average 4.5
Corinthians 3.0 + Rosario Central 2.3 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
E. Copetti
Rosario Central
19%
Shots
J. Campaz
Rosario Central
2.5
Corinthians · on target
Yuri Alberto
Corinthians
1
Rosario Central · on target
J. Campaz
Rosario Central
1.3
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Corinthians
At home- 2
- pts/game
- 1.33
- scored
- 0.67
- conceded
- Scored in 5 of 7
- Clean sheet in 67%
When their goals arrive
Rosario Central
Away- 2
- pts/game
- 1.33
- scored
- 0.33
- conceded
- Scored in 4 of 7
- Clean sheet in 67%
When their goals arrive
Corinthians · Recent form
- L1-2Cruzeiro
- D0-0Rosario Central
- W2-0RB Bragantino
- W2-1Internacional
- L0-2Internacional
Rosario Central · Recent form
- W1-0Barracas Central
- D0-0Corinthians
- W2-1Aldosivi
- W1-0River Plate
- D0-0Racing Club
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Corinthians vs Rosario Central?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Corinthians 31%, the draw 36%, Rosario Central 33%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in Corinthians vs Rosario Central?
The single most likely scoreline is 0-0, at 19%. The model projects 1.7 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Corinthians vs Rosario Central?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 35%, and over 2.5 goals at 25%.
More Copa Libertadores matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.