Match preview
Flamengo vs Cruzeiro prediction
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
1 in the table · 16 pts from 6
Cruzeiro
Wed, Aug 19, 08:30 PM
Rio de Janeiro
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Flamengo the more likely winner at 45%, against 25% for Cruzeiro and 30% for the draw. It projects 2.3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 47%. Behind that: Flamengo have scored in 6 of 6 league games this season, Cruzeiro in 6 of 7.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Flamengo win
45%
Draw
30%
Cruzeiro win
25%
What our model expects
FlamengoPer gameCruzeiroNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.4 – 1
Total goals 2.3
Both teams score
47%
Over 2.5 goals
41%
Over 1.5 goals
69%
Flamengo clean sheet
38%
Cruzeiro clean sheet
25%
What stands out
Total goals 2.3
14% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Flamengo 1.9 scored / 1.0 conceded · Cruzeiro 1.4 / 0.9 per game
Cards 3.6
20% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Flamengo 1.5 + Cruzeiro 2.1 per game
Offsides 2.9
16% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Flamengo 1.6 + Cruzeiro 1.3 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Pedro
Flamengo
33%
Shots
Everton
Flamengo
2.4
Flamengo · on target
Pedro
Flamengo
1.4
Cruzeiro · on target
N. Villareal
Cruzeiro
0.9
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Flamengo
At home- 3
- pts/game
- 2.67
- scored
- 0.33
- conceded
- Scored in 6 of 6
- Clean sheet in 67%
When their goals arrive
Cruzeiro
Away- 1.67
- pts/game
- 0.67
- scored
- 0.33
- conceded
- Scored in 6 of 7
- Clean sheet in 67%
When their goals arrive
Flamengo · Recent form
- W5-1Mirassol
- D1-1Cruzeiro
- W2-0Vitoria
- D1-1Internacional
- D1-1Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro · Recent form
- W2-1Corinthians
- D1-1Flamengo
- W3-1Mirassol
- W2-0Chapecoense-sc
- D0-0Chapecoense-sc
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Flamengo vs Cruzeiro?
Golazo's model makes Flamengo the more likely winner at 45%, with the draw at 30%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Flamengo vs Cruzeiro?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Flamengo vs Cruzeiro?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 47%, and over 2.5 goals at 41%.
More Copa Libertadores matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.