Match preview
Zenit vs Dynamo prediction
Zenit
Dynamo
Zenit
2 in the table · 6 pts from 3
Dynamo
9 in the table · 4 pts from 3
Sun, Aug 16, 07:30 AM
Gazprom Arena, Saint Petersburg
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Zenit the more likely winner at 49%, against 22% for Dynamo and 29% for the draw. It projects 2.3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 45%. Behind that: Zenit have scored in 3 of 3 league games this season, Dynamo in 2 of 3.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Zenit win
49%
Draw
29%
Dynamo win
22%
What our model expects
ZenitPer gameDynamoBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.4 – 0.9
Total goals 2.3
Both teams score
45%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
Over 1.5 goals
68%
Zenit clean sheet
42%
Dynamo clean sheet
24%
What stands out
Total goals 2.3
15% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Zenit 1.8 scored / 0.7 conceded · Dynamo 1.9 / 1.0 per game
Cards 3.7
17% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Zenit 1.9 + Dynamo 1.9 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
M. Glushenkov
Zenit
30%
Shots
M. Glushenkov
Zenit
2.2
Zenit · on target
M. Glushenkov
Zenit
1.1
Dynamo · on target
Bitello
Dynamo
0.7
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Zenit
At home- 0
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 2
- conceded
- Scored in 3 of 3
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Dynamo
Away- 0
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 2
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 3
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Zenit · Recent form
- L1-2Rodina Moskva
- W1-0Baltika
- W3-0FC Orenburg
- W5-0Akron
- D1-1Spartak Moscow
Dynamo · Recent form
- W3-1Dinamo Makhachkala
- W1-0Fakel
- L1-2Baltika
- D0-0Krylia Sovetov
- W5-2CSKA Moscow
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Zenit vs Dynamo?
Golazo's model makes Zenit the more likely winner at 49%, with the draw at 29%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Zenit vs Dynamo?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Zenit vs Dynamo?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 45%, and over 2.5 goals at 40%.
More Russian Premier League matches
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