Match preview
Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar prediction
Spartak Moscow
2 in the table · 6 pts from 2
FC Krasnodar
3 in the table · 6 pts from 2
Sun, Aug 9, 01:00 PM
Lukoil Arena, Moscow
The short answer
Golazo's model makes FC Krasnodar the more likely winner at 38%, against 32% for Spartak Moscow and 30% for the draw. It projects 2.4 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 50%. Behind that: Spartak Moscow have scored in 2 of 2 league games this season, FC Krasnodar in 2 of 2.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Spartak Moscow win
32%
Draw
30%
FC Krasnodar win
38%
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.3
Total goals 2.4
Both teams score
50%
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Over 1.5 goals
71%
Spartak Moscow clean sheet
28%
FC Krasnodar clean sheet
32%
What stands out
match.offsides 4.8
38% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Spartak Moscow 2.5 + FC Krasnodar 2.3 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
N. Krivtsov
FC Krasnodar
20%
Shots
N. Krivtsov
FC Krasnodar
1.7
Spartak Moscow · on target
E. Barco
Spartak Moscow
0.7
FC Krasnodar · on target
N. Krivtsov
FC Krasnodar
0.8
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Spartak Moscow
At home- 3
- pts/game
- 3
- scored
- 0
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 2
- Clean sheet in 100%
When their goals arrive
FC Krasnodar
Away- 3
- pts/game
- 3
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 2
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Spartak Moscow · Recent form
- W5-1FC Orenburg
- W2-1Akhmat
- W3-0Rodina Moskva
- D1-1Zenit
- L0-2Lokomotiv
FC Krasnodar · Recent form
- D1-1Akhmat
- W3-2Fakel
- W3-1Rubin
- D1-1Baltika
- D3-3FC Rostov
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar?
Golazo's model makes FC Krasnodar the more likely winner at 38%, with the draw at 30%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 50%, and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
More Russian Premier League matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.