Match preview
FC Orenburg vs Lokomotiv prediction
FC Orenburg
Lokomotiv
FC Orenburg
7 in the table · 4 pts from 3
Lokomotiv
12 in the table · 2 pts from 3
Fri, Aug 14, 10:00 AM
Gazovik Stadium, Orenburg
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Lokomotiv the more likely winner at 55%, against 17% for FC Orenburg and 28% for the draw. It projects 2.3 goals in total, with 0-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 44%. Behind that: FC Orenburg have scored in 2 of 3 league games this season, Lokomotiv in 2 of 3.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
FC Orenburg win
17%
Draw
28%
Lokomotiv win
55%
What our model expects
FC OrenburgPer gameLokomotivBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
0.8 – 1.6
Total goals 2.3
Both teams score
44%
Over 2.5 goals
41%
Over 1.5 goals
69%
FC Orenburg clean sheet
21%
Lokomotiv clean sheet
46%
What stands out
Total goals 2.3
14% below a typical match · League average 2.7
FC Orenburg 1.0 scored / 1.5 conceded · Lokomotiv 1.5 / 0.9 per game
Fouls 25
19% above a typical match · League average 21
FC Orenburg 12.6 + Lokomotiv 12.4 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
V. Rakov
Lokomotiv
17%
Shots
G. Nyamsi
Lokomotiv
1.4
FC Orenburg · on target
D. Puebla
FC Orenburg
0.6
Lokomotiv · on target
A. Siljanov
Lokomotiv
0.6
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
FC Orenburg
At home- 1.5
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 2
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 3
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Lokomotiv
Away- 0
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 2
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 3
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
FC Orenburg · Recent form
- D1-1Rubin
- L1-5Spartak Moscow
- L0-3Zenit
- W2-1FC Rostov
- W2-0CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv · Recent form
- D0-0Akron
- D1-1CSKA Moscow
- L1-2Dinamo Makhachkala
- D1-1Akhmat
- L1-3Rubin
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win FC Orenburg vs Lokomotiv?
Golazo's model makes Lokomotiv the more likely winner at 55%, with the draw at 28%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in FC Orenburg vs Lokomotiv?
The single most likely scoreline is 0-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in FC Orenburg vs Lokomotiv?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 44%, and over 2.5 goals at 41%.
More Russian Premier League matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.