Match preview
Rodina Moskva vs Akron prediction
Rodina Moskva
Akron
Rodina Moskva
11 in the table · 3 pts from 3
Akron
15 in the table · 1 pts from 3
Sat, Aug 15, 07:00 AM
Arena Khimki, Khimki
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Rodina Moskva the more likely winner at 68%, against 13% for Akron and 19% for the draw. It projects 3.4 goals in total, with 2-0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%, and puts both teams scoring at 57%. Behind that: Rodina Moskva have scored in 2 of 3 league games this season, Akron in 1 of 3.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Rodina Moskva win
68%
Draw
19%
Akron win
13%
What our model expects
Rodina MoskvaPer gameAkronBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2.4 – 1
Total goals 3.4
Both teams score
57%
Over 2.5 goals
66%
Over 1.5 goals
86%
Rodina Moskva clean sheet
38%
Akron clean sheet
9%
What stands out
Total goals 3.4
25% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Rodina Moskva 1.9 scored / 1.3 conceded · Akron 1.1 / 1.6 per game
Cards 3.9
14% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Rodina Moskva 2.0 + Akron 1.9 per game
Offsides 2.6
25% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Rodina Moskva 1.3 + Akron 1.3 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
A. Dmitriev
Akron
14%
Shots
S. Lončar
Akron
1.4
Rodina Moskva · on target
S. Bakaev
Rodina Moskva
0.6
Akron · on target
S. Lončar
Akron
0.6
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Rodina Moskva
At home- 0
- pts/game
- 2
- scored
- 4
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 3
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Akron
Away- 1
- pts/game
- 0
- scored
- 0
- conceded
- Scored in 1 of 3
- Clean sheet in 100%
When their goals arrive
Rodina Moskva · Recent form
- W2-1Zenit
- W5-0Rubin
- L2-4FC Rostov
- L0-3Spartak Moscow
- L0-5Akron
Akron · Recent form
- D0-0Lokomotiv
- L0-4FC Rostov
- L1-2Rubin
- L0-5Zenit
- W2-1Krylia Sovetov
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Rodina Moskva vs Akron?
Golazo's model makes Rodina Moskva the more likely winner at 68%, with the draw at 19%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Rodina Moskva vs Akron?
The single most likely scoreline is 2-0, at 10%. The model projects 3.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Rodina Moskva vs Akron?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 57%, and over 2.5 goals at 66%.
More Russian Premier League matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.