Match preview
CSKA Moscow vs Fakel prediction
CSKA Moscow
Fakel
CSKA Moscow
6 in the table · 5 pts from 3
Fakel
16 in the table · 0 pts from 2
Sat, Aug 15, 09:15 AM
VEB Arena, Moscow
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: CSKA Moscow 35%, the draw 32%, Fakel 33%. It projects 2.2 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 45%. Behind that: CSKA Moscow have scored in 2 of 3 league games this season, Fakel in 2 of 2.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
CSKA Moscow win
35%
Draw
32%
Fakel win
33%
What our model expects
CSKA MoscowPer gameFakelBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.1
Total goals 2.2
Both teams score
45%
Over 2.5 goals
37%
Over 1.5 goals
65%
CSKA Moscow clean sheet
35%
Fakel clean sheet
33%
What stands out
Cards 3.1
31% below a typical match · League average 4.5
CSKA Moscow 1.6 + Fakel 1.5 per game
Total goals 2.2
20% below a typical match · League average 2.7
CSKA Moscow 1.2 scored / 1.3 conceded · Fakel 1.2 / 1.1 per game
Offsides 2.7
22% below a typical match · League average 3.5
CSKA Moscow 1.3 + Fakel 1.4 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
M. Popovic
CSKA Moscow
16%
Shots
M. Popovic
CSKA Moscow
1.5
CSKA Moscow · on target
M. Popovic
CSKA Moscow
0.5
Fakel · on target
A. Gnapi Dable
Fakel
0.6
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
CSKA Moscow
At home- Scored in 2 of 3
When their goals arrive
Fakel
Away- 0
- pts/game
- 2
- scored
- 3
- conceded
- Scored in 2 of 2
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
CSKA Moscow · Recent form
- D0-0FC Rostov
- D1-1Lokomotiv
- D1-1Krylia Sovetov
- W2-1Baltika
- L2-5Dynamo
Fakel · Recent form
No finished games on record yet.
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win CSKA Moscow vs Fakel?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: CSKA Moscow 35%, the draw 32%, Fakel 33%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in CSKA Moscow vs Fakel?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 15%. The model projects 2.2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in CSKA Moscow vs Fakel?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 45%, and over 2.5 goals at 37%.
More Russian Premier League matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.