Match preview
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Vissel Kobe prediction
Yokohama F. Marinos
Vissel Kobe
Yokohama F. Marinos
7 in the table · 20 pts from 18
Vissel Kobe
Sat, Aug 22, 06:30 AM
Nissan Stadium, Yokohama
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Vissel Kobe the more likely winner at 40%, against 34% for Yokohama F. Marinos and 26% for the draw. It projects 3.1 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%, and puts both teams scoring at 63%. Behind that: Yokohama F. Marinos have scored in 13 of 20 league games this season, Vissel Kobe in 15 of 20.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Yokohama F. Marinos win
34%
Draw
26%
Vissel Kobe win
40%
What our model expects
Yokohama F. MarinosPer gameVissel KobeNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.6
Total goals 3.1
Both teams score
63%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Over 1.5 goals
83%
Yokohama F. Marinos clean sheet
20%
Vissel Kobe clean sheet
22%
What stands out
Cards 2.7
40% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Yokohama F. Marinos 1.1 + Vissel Kobe 1.6 per game
Total goals 3.1
15% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Yokohama F. Marinos 1.7 scored / 1.4 conceded · Vissel Kobe 1.6 / 1.3 per game
Offsides 4
14% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Yokohama F. Marinos 2.3 + Vissel Kobe 1.8 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
K. Tanimura
Yokohama F. Marinos
28%
Shots
R. Komatsu
Vissel Kobe
2.1
Yokohama F. Marinos · on target
K. Tanimura
Yokohama F. Marinos
0.9
Vissel Kobe · on target
R. Komatsu
Vissel Kobe
0.8
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Yokohama F. Marinos
At home- 0.9
- pts/game
- 1.4
- scored
- 1.7
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 20
- Clean sheet in 20%
When their goals arrive
Vissel Kobe
Away- 1.5
- pts/game
- 1.5
- scored
- 1.6
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 20
- Clean sheet in 20%
When their goals arrive
Yokohama F. Marinos · Recent form
- W1-0Shimizu S-pulse
- L3-4Kashima
- W3-1Roasso Kumamoto
- D1-1Tegevajaro Miyazaki
- W3-0Shimizu S-pulse
Vissel Kobe · Recent form
- D2-2FC Tokyo
- W1-0Avispa Fukuoka
- W2-1Imabari
- D1-1Consadole Sapporo
- L0-2Kashima
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Vissel Kobe?
Golazo's model makes Vissel Kobe the more likely winner at 40%, with the draw at 26%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Vissel Kobe?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 12%. The model projects 3.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Vissel Kobe?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 63%, and over 2.5 goals at 60%.
More J1 League matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.