Match preview
Vissel Kobe vs FC Tokyo prediction
Vissel Kobe
FC Tokyo
Vissel Kobe
FC Tokyo
2 in the table · 37 pts from 18
Sat, Aug 15, 06:00 AM
Noevir Stadium, Kobe
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Vissel Kobe the more likely winner at 43%, against 29% for FC Tokyo and 28% for the draw. It projects 2.7 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 55%. Behind that: Vissel Kobe have scored in 15 of 20 league games this season, FC Tokyo in 15 of 20.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Vissel Kobe win
43%
Draw
28%
FC Tokyo win
29%
What our model expects
Vissel KobePer gameFC TokyoNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.2
Total goals 2.7
Both teams score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Over 1.5 goals
76%
Vissel Kobe clean sheet
30%
FC Tokyo clean sheet
23%
What stands out
Cards 3.3
28% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Vissel Kobe 1.4 + FC Tokyo 1.9 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Marcelo Ryan
FC Tokyo
23%
Shots
Marcelo Ryan
FC Tokyo
2.6
Vissel Kobe · on target
R. Komatsu
Vissel Kobe
0.8
FC Tokyo · on target
Marcelo Ryan
FC Tokyo
1.2
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Vissel Kobe
At home- 2.1
- pts/game
- 1.9
- scored
- 1.1
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 20
- Clean sheet in 40%
When their goals arrive
FC Tokyo
Away- 2.2
- pts/game
- 1.8
- scored
- 0.9
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 20
- Clean sheet in 20%
When their goals arrive
Vissel Kobe · Recent form
- W1-0Avispa Fukuoka
- W2-1Imabari
- D1-1Consadole Sapporo
- L0-2Kashima
- W5-0Kashima
FC Tokyo · Recent form
- L1-5Machida Zelvia
- L0-1Borussia Dortmund
- W2-1Nagoya Grampus
- L1-3Cerezo Osaka
- D2-2Cerezo Osaka
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Vissel Kobe vs FC Tokyo?
Golazo's model makes Vissel Kobe the more likely winner at 43%, with the draw at 28%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Vissel Kobe vs FC Tokyo?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.7 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Vissel Kobe vs FC Tokyo?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 55%, and over 2.5 goals at 50%.
More J1 League matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.