Match preview

Urawa vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction

Urawa
v
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
363034
UrawaDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
Goals expectedBoth teams score51%Over 2.5 goals44%Total goals2.4
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Urawa

6 in the table · 25 pts from 18

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sat, Aug 15, 06:00 AM

Saitama Stadium, Saitama

The short answer

Golazo's model rates this close to even: Urawa 36%, the draw 30%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 34%. It projects 2.4 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 51%. Behind that: Urawa have scored in 15 of 20 league games this season, Sanfrecce Hiroshima in 18 of 20.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Urawa win

36%

Draw

30%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

34%

Most likely scorelines1114%0010%1010%

What our model expects

UrawaPer gameSanfrecce Hiroshima
Last 5WWWLW
2.8Cards1.6
0.90Points per game1.50
1.3Scored1.6
1.5Conceded1.3
4.5Corners5.1
14.1Shots15.4
52Possession48
1.2Expected goals1.2

No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.2 1.2

Total goals 2.4

Both teams score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

Over 1.5 goals

71%

Urawa clean sheet

30%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima clean sheet

29%

Corners

League average 5

Urawa4.5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima5.1

Cards

League average 2.25

Urawa2.8
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1.6

Shots

League average 12.5

Urawa14.1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima15.4

Possession

Urawa52
Sanfrecce Hiroshima48

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

M. Kato

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

17%

Shots

K. Kinoshita

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

1.9

Urawa · on target

H. Komori

Urawa

0.5

Sanfrecce Hiroshima · on target

A. Suzuki

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0.9

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Urawa

At home
0.9
pts/game
1.3
scored
1.5
conceded
  • Scored in 15 of 20
  • Clean sheet in 30%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Away
1.5
pts/game
1.6
scored
1.3
conceded
  • Scored in 18 of 20
  • Clean sheet in 30%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Urawa · Recent form

No finished games on record yet.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima · Recent form

  • W3-0JEF United Chiba
  • W4-0Verspah Oita
  • W3-1NK Slaven Belupo
  • L1-5Sturm Graz
  • W1-0Kawasaki Frontale

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Urawa vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Urawa 36%, the draw 30%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 34%. No side is a clear favourite.

What is the most likely score in Urawa vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.4 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Urawa vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 51%, and over 2.5 goals at 44%.

More J1 League matches

All J1 League fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.