Match preview
JEF United Chiba vs Machida Zelvia prediction
JEF United Chiba
Machida Zelvia
JEF United Chiba
10 in the table · 12 pts from 18
Machida Zelvia
3 in the table · 37 pts from 18
Sat, Aug 15, 06:00 AM
Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Machida Zelvia the more likely winner at 45%, against 27% for JEF United Chiba and 28% for the draw. It projects 2.6 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 52%. Behind that: JEF United Chiba have scored in 13 of 20 league games this season, Machida Zelvia in 18 of 20.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
JEF United Chiba win
27%
Draw
28%
Machida Zelvia win
45%
What our model expects
JEF United ChibaPer gameMachida ZelviaNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.5
Total goals 2.6
Both teams score
52%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Over 1.5 goals
74%
JEF United Chiba clean sheet
23%
Machida Zelvia clean sheet
34%
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Erik
Machida Zelvia
33%
Shots
T. Yengi
Machida Zelvia
1.8
JEF United Chiba · on target
Carlinhos Júnior
JEF United Chiba
1
Machida Zelvia · on target
S. Fujio
Machida Zelvia
0.8
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
JEF United Chiba
At home- 0.6
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 1.9
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 20
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Machida Zelvia
Away- 1.9
- pts/game
- 1.8
- scored
- 1.4
- conceded
- Scored in 18 of 20
- Clean sheet in 30%
When their goals arrive
JEF United Chiba · Recent form
- L0-3Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- D0-0Kashiwa Reysol
- L1-2Avispa Fukuoka
- D2-2Avispa Fukuoka
- L2-4Kashiwa Reysol
Machida Zelvia · Recent form
- W5-1FC Tokyo
- W2-1Fujieda MYFC
- W2-1Nagoya Grampus
- D2-2Nagoya Grampus
- W1-0Urawa
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win JEF United Chiba vs Machida Zelvia?
Golazo's model makes Machida Zelvia the more likely winner at 45%, with the draw at 28%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in JEF United Chiba vs Machida Zelvia?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in JEF United Chiba vs Machida Zelvia?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 52%, and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
More J1 League matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.