Match preview
Shimizu S-pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos prediction
Shimizu S-pulse
Yokohama F. Marinos
Shimizu S-pulse
Yokohama F. Marinos
7 in the table · 20 pts from 18
Sat, Aug 15, 05:30 AM
IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Shimizu S-pulse the more likely winner at 38%, against 33% for Yokohama F. Marinos and 29% for the draw. It projects 2.6 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%, and puts both teams scoring at 55%. Behind that: Shimizu S-pulse have scored in 14 of 20 league games this season, Yokohama F. Marinos in 13 of 20.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Shimizu S-pulse win
38%
Draw
29%
Yokohama F. Marinos win
33%
What our model expects
Shimizu S-pulsePer gameYokohama F. MarinosNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.3
Total goals 2.6
Both teams score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
Shimizu S-pulse clean sheet
28%
Yokohama F. Marinos clean sheet
25%
What stands out
Cards 3.5
22% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Shimizu S-pulse 2.1 + Yokohama F. Marinos 1.4 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
K. Tanimura
Yokohama F. Marinos
23%
Shots
K. Tanimura
Yokohama F. Marinos
1.9
Shimizu S-pulse · on target
K. Kitagawa
Shimizu S-pulse
0.9
Yokohama F. Marinos · on target
K. Tanimura
Yokohama F. Marinos
0.9
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Shimizu S-pulse
At home- 1.6
- pts/game
- 1.4
- scored
- 1.3
- conceded
- Scored in 14 of 20
- Clean sheet in 10%
When their goals arrive
Yokohama F. Marinos
Away- 1.3
- pts/game
- 1.8
- scored
- 1.5
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 20
- Clean sheet in 20%
When their goals arrive
Shimizu S-pulse · Recent form
- W1-0Nagoya Grampus
- W3-1Karlsruher SC
- W3-1Polessya
- L0-3Yokohama F. Marinos
- D1-1Yokohama F. Marinos
Yokohama F. Marinos · Recent form
- L3-4Kashima
- W3-1Roasso Kumamoto
- D1-1Tegevajaro Miyazaki
- W3-0Shimizu S-pulse
- D1-1Shimizu S-pulse
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
Golazo's model makes Shimizu S-pulse the more likely winner at 38%, with the draw at 29%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Shimizu S-pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. The model projects 2.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Shimizu S-pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 55%, and over 2.5 goals at 49%.
More J1 League matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.