Match preview
Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen prediction
Willem II
NEC Nijmegen
Willem II
17 in the table · 0 pts from 1
NEC Nijmegen
11 in the table · 0 pts from 1
Sat, Aug 15, 10:30 AM
Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Willem II the more likely winner at 53%, against 23% for NEC Nijmegen and 24% for the draw. It projects 3.1 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 60%. Behind that: Willem II have scored in 1 of 1 league games this season, NEC Nijmegen in 1 of 1.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Willem II win
53%
Draw
24%
NEC Nijmegen win
23%
What our model expects
Willem IIPer gameNEC NijmegenBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.9 – 1.2
Total goals 3.1
Both teams score
60%
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Over 1.5 goals
82%
Willem II clean sheet
31%
NEC Nijmegen clean sheet
15%
What stands out
Total goals 3.1
14% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Willem II 1.6 scored / 1.0 conceded · NEC Nijmegen 1.7 / 1.4 per game
Fouls 23.6
13% above a typical match · League average 21
Willem II 11.2 + NEC Nijmegen 12.4 per game
Offsides 4.1
18% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Willem II 1.4 + NEC Nijmegen 2.7 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Jamiro Monteiro
NEC Nijmegen
8%
Shots
T. Chery
NEC Nijmegen
1.5
NEC Nijmegen · on target
Jamiro Monteiro
NEC Nijmegen
0.6
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Willem II
At home- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
NEC Nijmegen
Away- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Willem II · Recent form
- L1-4GO Ahead Eagles
- W2-1OFI
- W1-0KV Mechelen
- D2-2FC Eindhoven
- L1-2Quick Boys
NEC Nijmegen · Recent form
- W2-1Olympiakos Piraeus
- L1-2Telstar
- D0-0Olympiakos Piraeus
- L1-2Sevilla
- L0-1SV Elversberg
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen?
Golazo's model makes Willem II the more likely winner at 53%, with the draw at 24%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 11%. The model projects 3.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 60%, and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
More Eredivisie matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.