Match preview
PEC Zwolle vs Ajax prediction
PEC Zwolle
15 in the table · 37 pts from 34
Ajax
5 in the table · 56 pts from 34
Sun, Aug 9, 08:30 AM
Zwolle
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Ajax the more likely winner at 71%, against 12% for PEC Zwolle and 17% for the draw. It projects 3.7 goals in total, with 1-2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%, and puts both teams scoring at 61%.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
PEC Zwolle win
12%
Draw
17%
Ajax win
71%
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.1 – 2.7
Total goals 3.7
Both teams score
61%
Over 2.5 goals
72%
Over 1.5 goals
89%
PEC Zwolle clean sheet
7%
Ajax clean sheet
35%
What stands out
Total goals 3.7
38% above a typical match · League average 2.7
PEC Zwolle 1.2 scored / 1.9 conceded · Ajax 2.0 / 1.0 per game
Cards 3.5
22% below a typical match · League average 4.5
PEC Zwolle 2.0 + Ajax 1.5 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
O. Gloukh
Ajax
46%
Shots
K. Dolberg
Ajax
1.8
PEC Zwolle · on target
T. Oosting
PEC Zwolle
0.9
Ajax · on target
K. Dolberg
Ajax
1
PEC Zwolle · Recent form
- L0-3Hannover 96
- L2-3AEK Athens FC
- W3-2Cercle Brugge
- L0-1Al-Jazira
- L0-2Feyenoord
Ajax · Recent form
- W3-1FC Volendam
- W4-1Vojvodina
- W2-1Burnley
- W4-1Vojvodina
- W1-0Olympiakos Piraeus
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win PEC Zwolle vs Ajax?
Golazo's model makes Ajax the more likely winner at 71%, with the draw at 17%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in PEC Zwolle vs Ajax?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-2, at 9%. The model projects 3.7 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in PEC Zwolle vs Ajax?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 61%, and over 2.5 goals at 72%.
More Eredivisie matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.