Match preview
Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction
Telstar
Sparta RotterdamTelstar
5 in the table · 3 pts from 1
Sparta Rotterdam
14 in the table · 0 pts from 1
Fri, Aug 14, 02:00 PM
BUKO Stadion, Velsen-Zuid
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Telstar the more likely winner at 64%, against 17% for Sparta Rotterdam and 19% for the draw. It projects 3.8 goals in total, with 2-1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%, and puts both teams scoring at 66%. Behind that: Telstar have scored in 1 of 1 league games this season, Sparta Rotterdam in 0 of 1.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Telstar win
64%
Draw
19%
Sparta Rotterdam win
17%
What our model expects
Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2.5 – 1.2
Total goals 3.8
Both teams score
66%
Over 2.5 goals
73%
Over 1.5 goals
90%
Telstar clean sheet
29%
Sparta Rotterdam clean sheet
8%
What stands out
Total goals 3.8
39% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Telstar 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded · Sparta Rotterdam 1.2 / 1.7 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
M. Zonneveld
Sparta Rotterdam
38%
Shots
A. Oufkir
Sparta Rotterdam
2.1
Sparta Rotterdam · on target
M. Zonneveld
Sparta Rotterdam
1.2
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Telstar
At home- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Sparta Rotterdam
Away- Scored in 0 of 1
When their goals arrive
Telstar · Recent form
- W2-1NEC Nijmegen
- L1-3VfL Wolfsburg
- W6-3De Graafschap
- L0-1Sparta Rotterdam
- L1-2Almere City FC
Sparta Rotterdam · Recent form
- L0-1Feyenoord
- D0-0MSV Duisburg
- D1-1Asteras Tripolis
- L2-3Zulte Waregem
- L2-3SV Meppen
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Golazo's model makes Telstar the more likely winner at 64%, with the draw at 19%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam?
The single most likely scoreline is 2-1, at 9%. The model projects 3.8 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 66%, and over 2.5 goals at 73%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.