Match preview

Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction

Telstar
v
Sparta Rotterdam
641917
TelstarDrawSparta Rotterdam
Goals expectedBoth teams score66%Over 2.5 goals73%Total goals3.8
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Telstar

5 in the table · 3 pts from 1

Sparta Rotterdam

14 in the table · 0 pts from 1

Fri, Aug 14, 02:00 PM

BUKO Stadion, Velsen-Zuid

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Telstar the more likely winner at 64%, against 17% for Sparta Rotterdam and 19% for the draw. It projects 3.8 goals in total, with 2-1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%, and puts both teams scoring at 66%. Behind that: Telstar have scored in 1 of 1 league games this season, Sparta Rotterdam in 0 of 1.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Telstar win

64%

Draw

19%

Sparta Rotterdam win

17%

Most likely scorelines219%118%318%

What our model expects

TelstarPer gameSparta Rotterdam
WLWLLLast 5LDDLL
2.5Expected goals1.2
49Possession51
5.3Corners5.5
11.4Shots11.6
0.0Scored0.0
0.0Conceded0.0
0.00Points per game0.00
2.2Cards2.2

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

2.5 1.2

Total goals 3.8

Both teams score

66%

Over 2.5 goals

73%

Over 1.5 goals

90%

Telstar clean sheet

29%

Sparta Rotterdam clean sheet

8%

What stands out

  • Total goals 3.8

    39% above a typical match · League average 2.7

    Telstar 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded · Sparta Rotterdam 1.2 / 1.7 per game

Corners

League average 5

Telstar5.3
Sparta Rotterdam5.5

Cards

League average 2.25

Telstar2.2
Sparta Rotterdam2.2

Shots

League average 12.5

Telstar11.4
Sparta Rotterdam11.6

Possession

Telstar49
Sparta Rotterdam51

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

M. Zonneveld

Sparta Rotterdam

38%

Shots

A. Oufkir

Sparta Rotterdam

2.1

Sparta Rotterdam · on target

M. Zonneveld

Sparta Rotterdam

1.2

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Telstar

At home
  • Scored in 1 of 1

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Sparta Rotterdam

Away
  • Scored in 0 of 1

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Telstar · Recent form

  • W2-1NEC Nijmegen
  • L1-3VfL Wolfsburg
  • W6-3De Graafschap
  • L0-1Sparta Rotterdam
  • L1-2Almere City FC

Sparta Rotterdam · Recent form

  • L0-1Feyenoord
  • D0-0MSV Duisburg
  • D1-1Asteras Tripolis
  • L2-3Zulte Waregem
  • L2-3SV Meppen

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Golazo's model makes Telstar the more likely winner at 64%, with the draw at 19%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam?

The single most likely scoreline is 2-1, at 9%. The model projects 3.8 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 66%, and over 2.5 goals at 73%.

More Eredivisie matches

All Eredivisie fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.