Match preview

Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur prediction

Fortuna Sittard
v
Cambuur
392338
Fortuna SittardDrawCambuur
Goals expectedBoth teams score72%Over 2.5 goals71%Total goals3.7
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Fortuna Sittard

9 in the table · 1 pts from 1

Cambuur

18 in the table · 0 pts from 1

Sat, Aug 15, 03:00 PM

Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard

The short answer

Golazo's model rates this close to even: Fortuna Sittard 39%, the draw 23%, Cambuur 38%. It projects 3.7 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%, and puts both teams scoring at 72%. Behind that: Fortuna Sittard have scored in 1 of 1 league games this season, Cambuur in 0 of 1.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Fortuna Sittard win

39%

Draw

23%

Cambuur win

38%

Most likely scorelines1–19%2–18%1–28%

What our model expects

Fortuna SittardPer gameCambuur
DWLLWLast 5LLLWW
48Possession52
1.9Expected goals1.8
12.2Shots11.8
0.0Scored0.0
0.0Conceded0.0
0.00Points per game0.00
5.1Corners5.1
0.0Cards0.0

Built from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.9 – 1.8

Total goals 3.7

Both teams score

72%

Over 2.5 goals

71%

Over 1.5 goals

89%

Fortuna Sittard clean sheet

16%

Cambuur clean sheet

16%

What stands out

  • Total goals 3.7

    37% above a typical match · League average 2.7

    Fortuna Sittard 1.4 scored / 1.9 conceded · Cambuur 1.5 / 1.6 per game

Corners

League average 5

Fortuna Sittard5.1
Cambuur5.1

Shots

League average 12.5

Fortuna Sittard12.2
Cambuur11.8

Possession

Fortuna Sittard48
Cambuur52

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Fortuna Sittard

At home
  • Scored in 1 of 1

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Cambuur

Away
  • Scored in 0 of 1

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Fortuna Sittard · Recent form

  • D2-2PSV Eindhoven
  • W2-1Apoel Nicosia
  • L1-3Metz
  • L1-3Olympiakos Piraeus
  • W2-1Genk

Cambuur · Recent form

  • L0-4Excelsior
  • L1-3Bologna
  • L1-2Volos NFC
  • W1-0Utrecht
  • W2-1Roda

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

See the full recordHow it works

Common questions

Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur?

Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Fortuna Sittard 39%, the draw 23%, Cambuur 38%. No side is a clear favourite.

What is the most likely score in Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 9%. The model projects 3.7 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 72%, and over 2.5 goals at 71%.

More Eredivisie matches

All Eredivisie fixtures and the table →

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.