Match preview
Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar prediction
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht
12 in the table · 0 pts from 1
AZ Alkmaar
4 in the table · 3 pts from 1
Sat, Aug 15, 12:45 PM
Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht
The short answer
Golazo's model makes AZ Alkmaar the more likely winner at 41%, against 33% for Utrecht and 26% for the draw. It projects 3.1 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%, and puts both teams scoring at 64%. Behind that: Utrecht have scored in 1 of 1 league games this season, AZ Alkmaar in 1 of 1.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Utrecht win
33%
Draw
26%
AZ Alkmaar win
41%
What our model expects
UtrechtPer gameAZ AlkmaarBuilt from each side's recent results, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.7
Total goals 3.1
Both teams score
64%
Over 2.5 goals
61%
Over 1.5 goals
83%
Utrecht clean sheet
19%
AZ Alkmaar clean sheet
23%
What stands out
Total goals 3.1
17% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Utrecht 1.5 scored / 1.2 conceded · AZ Alkmaar 2.0 / 1.2 per game
Offsides 4
15% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Utrecht 2.2 + AZ Alkmaar 1.8 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Utrecht
At home- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
AZ Alkmaar
Away- Scored in 1 of 1
When their goals arrive
Utrecht · Recent form
- L1-2Groningen
- L0-1Sevilla
- L0-1Cambuur
- W3-2V-varen Nagasaki
- L0-1Apollon Limassol
AZ Alkmaar · Recent form
- W2-0ADO Den Haag
- W4-0PSV Eindhoven
- W3-2Olympiakos Piraeus
- W4-0Genk
- D1-1Zulte Waregem
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar?
Golazo's model makes AZ Alkmaar the more likely winner at 41%, with the draw at 26%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 12%. The model projects 3.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 64%, and over 2.5 goals at 61%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.