Match preview
Halmstad vs Sirius: projection vs result
Halmstad
16 in the table · 7 pts from 15
Sirius
1 in the table · 41 pts from 15
0–2
Final
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Sirius the more likely winner at 73%, against 10% for Halmstad and 17% for the draw. It projects 3.5 goals in total, with 0-2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%, and puts both teams scoring at 55%. Behind that: Halmstad have scored in 9 of 15 league games this season, Sirius in 15 of 15. It finished Halmstad 0–2 Sirius.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Halmstad win
10%
Draw
17%
Sirius win
73%
What we said, and what happened
0 of 3 called correctly
Published before kickoff, scored afterwards. We leave the misses up.
- Total goalsProjected 3.5Actual 2Missed
- Both teams scoreProjected 55%Actual NoMissed
- Over 2.5 goalsProjected 67%Actual NoMissed
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
0.9 – 2.6
Total goals 3.5
Both teams score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
Over 1.5 goals
87%
Halmstad clean sheet
8%
Sirius clean sheet
41%
What stands out
Total goals 3.5
28% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Halmstad 0.9 scored / 1.9 conceded · Sirius 2.2 / 1.1 per game
Cards 3.7
19% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Halmstad 2.1 + Sirius 1.6 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
R. Ure
Sirius
48%
Shots
O. Faraj
Halmstad
2.1
Halmstad · on target
O. Faraj
Halmstad
0.8
Sirius · on target
I. Bjerkebo
Sirius
1.4
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Halmstad
At home- 0.63
- pts/game
- 0.75
- scored
- 1.88
- conceded
- Scored in 9 of 15
- Clean sheet in 13%
When their goals arrive
Sirius
Away- 2.75
- pts/game
- 2.63
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 15
- Clean sheet in 38%
When their goals arrive
Halmstad · Recent form
- L0-2Sirius
- D1-1Gais
- L0-2BK Hacken
- L0-3Djurgardens IF
- L1-3Vasteras SK FK
Sirius · Recent form
- W2-0Halmstad
- W4-1IFK Goteborg
- W3-1IF Elfsborg
- W2-1IF Brommapojkarna
- D4-4Mjallby AIF
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Halmstad vs Sirius?
Golazo's model makes Sirius the more likely winner at 73%, with the draw at 17%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Halmstad vs Sirius?
The single most likely scoreline is 0-2, at 10%. The model projects 3.5 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Halmstad vs Sirius?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 55%, and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.