Match preview

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo prediction

Vancouver Whitecaps
v
Houston Dynamo
582418
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawHouston Dynamo
Goals expectedBoth teams score54%Over 2.5 goals54%Total goals2.9
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Vancouver Whitecaps

2 in the table · 34 pts from 17

Houston Dynamo

1 in the table · 35 pts from 19

Wed, Aug 19, 10:30 PM

BC Place, Vancouver

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the more likely winner at 58%, against 18% for Houston Dynamo and 24% for the draw. It projects 2.9 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%, and puts both teams scoring at 54%. Behind that: Vancouver Whitecaps have scored in 14 of 17 league games this season, Houston Dynamo in 15 of 19.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Vancouver Whitecaps win

58%

Draw

24%

Houston Dynamo win

18%

Most likely scorelines1112%2010%2110%

What our model expects

Vancouver WhitecapsPer gameHouston Dynamo
DLLDDLast 5WWWWD
0.6Conceded1.9
1.9Expected goals1.0
2.44Points per game1.44
5.6Corners3.4
2.4Scored1.7
1.6Cards2.2
14.7Shots12.5
52Possession48

No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.9 1

Total goals 2.9

Both teams score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

Over 1.5 goals

79%

Vancouver Whitecaps clean sheet

38%

Houston Dynamo clean sheet

15%

What stands out

  • Cards 3.8

    16% below a typical match · League average 4.5

    Vancouver Whitecaps 1.6 + Houston Dynamo 2.2 per game

Corners

League average 5

Vancouver Whitecaps5.6
Houston Dynamo3.4

Cards

League average 2.25

Vancouver Whitecaps1.6
Houston Dynamo2.2

Shots

League average 12.5

Vancouver Whitecaps14.7
Houston Dynamo12.5

Possession

Vancouver Whitecaps52
Houston Dynamo48

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

Guilherme

Houston Dynamo

23%

Shots

B. White

Vancouver Whitecaps

2.5

Vancouver Whitecaps · on target

B. White

Vancouver Whitecaps

1.4

Houston Dynamo · on target

Guilherme

Houston Dynamo

1.2

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Vancouver Whitecaps

At home
2.44
pts/game
2.44
scored
0.56
conceded
  • Scored in 14 of 17
  • Clean sheet in 56%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Houston Dynamo

Away
1.44
pts/game
1.67
scored
1.89
conceded
  • Scored in 15 of 19
  • Clean sheet in 33%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Vancouver Whitecaps · Recent form

  • D1-1Tigres UANL
  • L1-3FC Juarez
  • L0-1Atlante FC
  • D1-1Los Angeles FC
  • D0-0Minnesota United FC

Houston Dynamo · Recent form

  • W1-0Los Angeles Galaxy
  • W2-0New England Revolution
  • W2-0Sporting Kansas City
  • W3-0Austin
  • D1-1DC United

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo?

Golazo's model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the more likely winner at 58%, with the draw at 24%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 12%. The model projects 2.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 54%, and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

More MLS matches

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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.