Match preview
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo prediction
Vancouver Whitecaps
Houston DynamoVancouver Whitecaps
2 in the table · 34 pts from 17
Houston Dynamo
1 in the table · 35 pts from 19
Wed, Aug 19, 10:30 PM
BC Place, Vancouver
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the more likely winner at 58%, against 18% for Houston Dynamo and 24% for the draw. It projects 2.9 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%, and puts both teams scoring at 54%. Behind that: Vancouver Whitecaps have scored in 14 of 17 league games this season, Houston Dynamo in 15 of 19.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Vancouver Whitecaps win
58%
Draw
24%
Houston Dynamo win
18%
What our model expects
No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.9 – 1
Total goals 2.9
Both teams score
54%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Over 1.5 goals
79%
Vancouver Whitecaps clean sheet
38%
Houston Dynamo clean sheet
15%
What stands out
Cards 3.8
16% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Vancouver Whitecaps 1.6 + Houston Dynamo 2.2 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Guilherme
Houston Dynamo
23%
Shots
B. White
Vancouver Whitecaps
2.5
Vancouver Whitecaps · on target
B. White
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.4
Houston Dynamo · on target
Guilherme
Houston Dynamo
1.2
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Vancouver Whitecaps
At home- 2.44
- pts/game
- 2.44
- scored
- 0.56
- conceded
- Scored in 14 of 17
- Clean sheet in 56%
When their goals arrive
Houston Dynamo
Away- 1.44
- pts/game
- 1.67
- scored
- 1.89
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 19
- Clean sheet in 33%
When their goals arrive
Vancouver Whitecaps · Recent form
- D1-1Tigres UANL
- L1-3FC Juarez
- L0-1Atlante FC
- D1-1Los Angeles FC
- D0-0Minnesota United FC
Houston Dynamo · Recent form
- W1-0Los Angeles Galaxy
- W2-0New England Revolution
- W2-0Sporting Kansas City
- W3-0Austin
- D1-1DC United
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo?
Golazo's model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the more likely winner at 58%, with the draw at 24%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 12%. The model projects 2.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Vancouver Whitecaps vs Houston Dynamo?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 54%, and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
More MLS matches
- Orlando City SC vs FC CincinnatiAug 15
- Atlanta United FC vs New York Red BullsAug 15
- Charlotte vs Columbus CrewAug 15
- Toronto FC vs New England RevolutionAug 15
- CF Montreal vs DC UnitedAug 15
- Nashville SC vs Inter MiamiAug 15
- Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles GalaxyAug 15
- Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FCAug 15
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.