Match preview
Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls prediction
Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
Sat, Aug 15, 07:30 PM
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Atlanta United FC the more likely winner at 41%, against 33% for New York Red Bulls and 26% for the draw. It projects 3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%, and puts both teams scoring at 62%. Behind that: Atlanta United FC have scored in 11 of 18 league games this season, New York Red Bulls in 14 of 18.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Atlanta United FC win
41%
Draw
26%
New York Red Bulls win
33%
What our model expects
Atlanta United FCPer gameNew York Red BullsNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.4
Total goals 3
Both teams score
62%
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Over 1.5 goals
82%
Atlanta United FC clean sheet
24%
New York Red Bulls clean sheet
20%
What stands out
Total goals 3
13% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Atlanta United FC 1.3 scored / 1.7 conceded · New York Red Bulls 1.4 / 1.4 per game
Shots
League average 12.5
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
J. Hall
New York Red Bulls
30%
Shots
S. Lobzhanidze
Atlanta United FC
1.8
Atlanta United FC · on target
S. Lobzhanidze
Atlanta United FC
1
New York Red Bulls · on target
C. Cowell
New York Red Bulls
0.9
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Atlanta United FC
At home- 0.88
- pts/game
- 1.38
- scored
- 1.75
- conceded
- Scored in 11 of 18
- Clean sheet in 13%
When their goals arrive
New York Red Bulls
Away- 1.22
- pts/game
- 1.44
- scored
- 2.33
- conceded
- Scored in 14 of 18
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Atlanta United FC · Recent form
- L2-3Philadelphia Union
- L1-4New England Revolution
- D2-2Charlotte
- L0-1Nashville SC
- L0-2Columbus Crew
New York Red Bulls · Recent form
- W3-2Orlando City SC
- L0-2Charlotte
- L1-3Philadelphia Union
- W2-1Sporting Kansas City
- D1-1New York City FC
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls?
Golazo's model makes Atlanta United FC the more likely winner at 41%, with the draw at 26%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 12%. The model projects 3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 62%, and over 2.5 goals at 59%.
More MLS matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.