Match preview
Toronto FC vs New England Revolution prediction
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
Sat, Aug 15, 07:30 PM
BMO Field, Toronto
The short answer
Golazo's model makes New England Revolution the more likely winner at 39%, against 33% for Toronto FC and 28% for the draw. It projects 2.7 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 56%. Behind that: Toronto FC have scored in 15 of 18 league games this season, New England Revolution in 13 of 18.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Toronto FC win
33%
Draw
28%
New England Revolution win
39%
What our model expects
Toronto FCPer gameNew England RevolutionNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.4
Total goals 2.7
Both teams score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Over 1.5 goals
76%
Toronto FC clean sheet
25%
New England Revolution clean sheet
28%
What stands out
Cards 3.9
14% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Toronto FC 2.1 + New England Revolution 1.8 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga
Toronto FC
22%
Shots
P. Miller
New England Revolution
1.8
Toronto FC · on target
D. Sallói
Toronto FC
0.9
New England Revolution · on target
P. Miller
New England Revolution
0.8
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Toronto FC
At home- 1.22
- pts/game
- 1.89
- scored
- 2
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 18
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
New England Revolution
Away- 0.71
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 1.86
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 18
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Toronto FC · Recent form
- D1-1New York City FC
- L1-2DC United
- D0-0New England Revolution
- D0-0CF Montreal
- L1-2Chicago Fire
New England Revolution · Recent form
- L0-2Houston Dynamo
- D2-2CF Montreal
- W4-1Atlanta United FC
- D0-0Toronto FC
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?
Golazo's model makes New England Revolution the more likely winner at 39%, with the draw at 28%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.7 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 56%, and over 2.5 goals at 50%.
More MLS matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.