Match preview
Charlotte vs Columbus Crew prediction
Charlotte
Columbus Crew
Charlotte
Columbus Crew
Sat, Aug 15, 07:30 PM
Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Charlotte the more likely winner at 47%, against 27% for Columbus Crew and 27% for the draw. It projects 2.8 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 58%. Behind that: Charlotte have scored in 14 of 18 league games this season, Columbus Crew in 15 of 18.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Charlotte win
47%
Draw
27%
Columbus Crew win
27%
What our model expects
CharlottePer gameColumbus CrewNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.2
Total goals 2.8
Both teams score
58%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Over 1.5 goals
79%
Charlotte clean sheet
30%
Columbus Crew clean sheet
19%
What stands out
Cards 3.9
14% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Charlotte 1.9 + Columbus Crew 2.0 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
W. Abou Ali
Columbus Crew
23%
Shots
A. Goodwin
Charlotte
1.9
Charlotte · on target
L. Abada
Charlotte
1
Columbus Crew · on target
W. Abou Ali
Columbus Crew
0.9
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Charlotte
At home- 1.8
- pts/game
- 2
- scored
- 1.1
- conceded
- Scored in 14 of 18
- Clean sheet in 20%
When their goals arrive
Columbus Crew
Away- 0.67
- pts/game
- 1.56
- scored
- 2.11
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 18
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Charlotte · Recent form
- W2-0Atlas
- W3-0U.N.A.M. - Pumas
- L1-2Chicago Fire
- W2-0New York Red Bulls
- D2-2Atlanta United FC
Columbus Crew · Recent form
- W2-1CF Pachuca
- W3-1Atlas
- D2-2Inter Miami
- W2-1FC Cincinnati
- L1-2New York City FC
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Charlotte vs Columbus Crew?
Golazo's model makes Charlotte the more likely winner at 47%, with the draw at 27%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Charlotte vs Columbus Crew?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.8 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Charlotte vs Columbus Crew?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 58%, and over 2.5 goals at 54%.
More MLS matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.