Match preview

CF Montreal vs DC United prediction

CF Montreal
v
DC United
362737
CF MontrealDrawDC United
Goals expectedBoth teams score60%Over 2.5 goals56%Total goals2.9
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

CF Montreal

DC United

Sat, Aug 15, 07:30 PM

Saputo Stadium, Montreal

The short answer

Golazo's model rates this close to even: CF Montreal 36%, the draw 27%, DC United 37%. It projects 2.9 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 60%. Behind that: CF Montreal have scored in 22 of 34 league games this season, DC United in 13 of 18.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

CF Montreal win

36%

Draw

27%

DC United win

37%

Most likely scorelines1113%128%218%

What our model expects

CF MontrealPer gameDC United
Last 5DWDDD
1.9Conceded1.1
0.71Points per game1.22
0.8Scored1.2
1.5Cards2.0
5.4Corners4.8
1.4Expected goals1.5
51Possession49
12.3Shots12.6

No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.4 1.5

Total goals 2.9

Both teams score

60%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

Over 1.5 goals

80%

CF Montreal clean sheet

23%

DC United clean sheet

24%

What stands out

  • Cards 3.5

    22% below a typical match · League average 4.5

    CF Montreal 1.5 + DC United 2.0 per game

  • Offsides 2.7

    24% below a typical match · League average 3.5

    CF Montreal 1.4 + DC United 1.3 per game

Corners

League average 5

CF Montreal5.4
DC United4.8

Cards

League average 2.25

CF Montreal1.5
DC United2

Shots

League average 12.5

CF Montreal12.3
DC United12.6

Possession

CF Montreal51
DC United49

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

T. Baribo

DC United

37%

Shots

L. Munteanu

DC United

2.5

CF Montreal · on target

H. Synchuk

CF Montreal

1.1

DC United · on target

L. Munteanu

DC United

1.3

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

CF Montreal

At home
0.71
pts/game
0.82
scored
1.94
conceded
  • Scored in 22 of 34
  • Clean sheet in 12%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

DC United

Away
1.22
pts/game
1.22
scored
1.11
conceded
  • Scored in 13 of 18
  • Clean sheet in 33%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

CF Montreal · Recent form

No finished games on record yet.

DC United · Recent form

  • D2-2Nashville SC
  • W2-1Toronto FC
  • D1-1Houston Dynamo
  • D4-4CF Montreal
  • D1-1St. Louis City

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win CF Montreal vs DC United?

Golazo's model rates the match close to even: CF Montreal 36%, the draw 27%, DC United 37%. No side is a clear favourite.

What is the most likely score in CF Montreal vs DC United?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in CF Montreal vs DC United?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 60%, and over 2.5 goals at 56%.

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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.