Match preview
Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati prediction
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
Sat, Aug 15, 07:30 PM
Exploria Stadium, Orlando
The short answer
Golazo's model makes FC Cincinnati the more likely winner at 46%, against 36% for Orlando City SC and 19% for the draw. It projects 5.2 goals in total, with 2-2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%, and puts both teams scoring at 86%. Behind that: Orlando City SC have scored in 13 of 18 league games this season, FC Cincinnati in 16 of 18.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Orlando City SC win
36%
Draw
19%
FC Cincinnati win
46%
What our model expects
Orlando City SCPer gameFC CincinnatiNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
2.4 – 2.8
Total goals 5.2
Both teams score
86%
Over 2.5 goals
89%
Over 1.5 goals
97%
Orlando City SC clean sheet
6%
FC Cincinnati clean sheet
9%
What stands out
Total goals 5.2
92% above a typical match · League average 2.7
Orlando City SC 1.9 scored / 2.0 conceded · FC Cincinnati 2.5 / 2.3 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
M. Ojeda
Orlando City SC
46%
Shots
Evander
FC Cincinnati
2.3
Orlando City SC · on target
M. Ojeda
Orlando City SC
1.3
FC Cincinnati · on target
G. Valenzuela
FC Cincinnati
1.4
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Orlando City SC
At home- 1.63
- pts/game
- 1.88
- scored
- 1.63
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 18
- Clean sheet in 13%
When their goals arrive
FC Cincinnati
Away- 0.78
- pts/game
- 1.89
- scored
- 2.78
- conceded
- Scored in 16 of 18
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
Orlando City SC · Recent form
- L1-2Leon
- W2-1Monterrey
- L2-3New York Red Bulls
- W1-0Nashville SC
- W4-0San Jose Earthquakes
FC Cincinnati · Recent form
- W2-0U.N.A.M. - Pumas
- W3-1CF Pachuca
- W4-2San Jose Earthquakes
- L1-2Columbus Crew
- W4-3Vancouver Whitecaps
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati?
Golazo's model makes FC Cincinnati the more likely winner at 46%, with the draw at 19%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati?
The single most likely scoreline is 2-2, at 6%. The model projects 5.2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 86%, and over 2.5 goals at 89%.
More MLS matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.