Match preview

Toronto FC vs Charlotte prediction

Toronto FC
v
Charlotte
352837
Toronto FCDrawCharlotte
Goals expectedBoth teams score58%Over 2.5 goals54%Total goals2.8
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Toronto FC

Charlotte

Wed, Aug 19, 07:30 PM

BMO Field, Toronto

The short answer

Golazo's model rates this close to even: Toronto FC 35%, the draw 28%, Charlotte 37%. It projects 2.8 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 58%. Behind that: Toronto FC have scored in 15 of 18 league games this season, Charlotte in 14 of 18.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Toronto FC win

35%

Draw

28%

Charlotte win

37%

Most likely scorelines1–113%1–28%2–18%

What our model expects

Toronto FCPer gameCharlotte
DLDDLLast 5LWWLW
1.9Scored1.1
1.22Points per game0.88
2.1Cards1.7
5.4Corners4.8
51Possession49
12.7Shots12.4
1.4Expected goals1.4
2.0Conceded2.0

No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.4 – 1.4

Total goals 2.8

Both teams score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

Over 1.5 goals

78%

Toronto FC clean sheet

24%

Charlotte clean sheet

25%

What stands out

  • Cards 3.8

    16% below a typical match · League average 4.5

    Toronto FC 2.1 + Charlotte 1.7 per game

Corners

League average 5

Toronto FC5.4
Charlotte4.8

Cards

League average 2.25

Toronto FC2.1
Charlotte1.7

Shots

League average 12.5

Toronto FC12.7
Charlotte12.4

Possession

Toronto FC51
Charlotte49

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

A. Goodwin

Charlotte

25%

Shots

A. Goodwin

Charlotte

1.9

Toronto FC · on target

D. Sallói

Toronto FC

0.9

Charlotte · on target

L. Abada

Charlotte

1

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Toronto FC

At home
1.22
pts/game
1.89
scored
2
conceded
  • Scored in 15 of 18
  • Clean sheet in 0%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Charlotte

Away
0.88
pts/game
1.13
scored
2
conceded
  • Scored in 14 of 18
  • Clean sheet in 13%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Toronto FC · Recent form

  • D1-1New York City FC
  • L1-2DC United
  • D0-0New England Revolution
  • D0-0CF Montreal
  • L1-2Chicago Fire

Charlotte · Recent form

  • L0-1CF Pachuca
  • W2-0Atlas
  • W3-0U.N.A.M. - Pumas
  • L1-2Chicago Fire
  • W2-0New York Red Bulls

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

See the full recordHow it works

Common questions

Who will win Toronto FC vs Charlotte?

Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Toronto FC 35%, the draw 28%, Charlotte 37%. No side is a clear favourite.

What is the most likely score in Toronto FC vs Charlotte?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.8 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Toronto FC vs Charlotte?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 58%, and over 2.5 goals at 54%.

More MLS matches

All MLS fixtures and the table →

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.