Match preview
Tigre vs River Plate prediction
Tigre
River Plate
Sat, Aug 8, 04:00 PM
Buenos Aires
The short answer
Golazo's model rates this close to even: Tigre 35%, the draw 33%, River Plate 33%. It projects 2.1 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 44%. Behind that: Tigre have scored in 12 of 18 league games this season, River Plate in 15 of 23.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Tigre win
35%
Draw
33%
River Plate win
33%
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.1 – 1
Total goals 2.1
Both teams score
44%
Over 2.5 goals
35%
Over 1.5 goals
64%
Tigre clean sheet
35%
River Plate clean sheet
34%
What stands out
Total goals 2.1
22% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Tigre 1.0 scored / 1.0 conceded · River Plate 1.3 / 1.0 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
D. Romero
Tigre
39%
Shots
D. Romero
Tigre
2.6
Tigre · on target
P. Martínez
Tigre
1.2
River Plate · on target
J. Quintero
River Plate
1.5
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Tigre
At home- 1.63
- pts/game
- 1.38
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 12 of 18
- Clean sheet in 25%
When their goals arrive
River Plate
Away- 1.56
- pts/game
- 0.89
- scored
- 0.56
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 23
- Clean sheet in 44%
When their goals arrive
Tigre · Recent form
- D0-0Belgrano Cordoba
- W3-1Racing Club
- L1-2Club Nacional
- L0-1Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
- W3-0Club Nacional
River Plate · Recent form
- L0-1Rosario Central
- L0-1Gimnasia L.P.
- L0-1Barracas Central
- L1-3Aldosivi
- D2-2Flamengo
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Tigre vs River Plate?
Golazo's model rates the match close to even: Tigre 35%, the draw 33%, River Plate 33%. No side is a clear favourite.
What is the most likely score in Tigre vs River Plate?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 15%. The model projects 2.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Tigre vs River Plate?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 44%, and over 2.5 goals at 35%.
More Liga Profesional matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.