Match preview
Huracan vs Atletico Tucuman: projection vs result
Huracan
Atletico Tucuman
0–0
Final
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Huracan the more likely winner at 45%, against 22% for Atletico Tucuman and 32% for the draw. It projects 2 goals in total, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 40%. Behind that: Huracan have scored in 14 of 21 league games this season, Atletico Tucuman in 13 of 19. It finished Huracan 0–0 Atletico Tucuman.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Huracan win
45%
Draw
32%
Atletico Tucuman win
22%
What we said, and what happened
2 of 3 called correctly
Published before kickoff, scored afterwards. We leave the misses up.
- Total goalsProjected 2Actual 0Missed
- Both teams scoreProjected 40%Actual NoCalled
- Over 2.5 goalsProjected 33%Actual NoCalled
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.2 – 0.8
Total goals 2
Both teams score
40%
Over 2.5 goals
33%
Over 1.5 goals
61%
Huracan clean sheet
45%
Atletico Tucuman clean sheet
29%
What stands out
Total goals 2
25% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Huracan 1.1 scored / 0.9 conceded · Atletico Tucuman 1.1 / 1.0 per game
Fouls 24.8
18% above a typical match · League average 21
Huracan 12.1 + Atletico Tucuman 12.7 per game
match.offsides 3
14% below a typical match · League average 3.5
Huracan 1.1 + Atletico Tucuman 1.9 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
L. Díaz
Atletico Tucuman
21%
Shots
L. Díaz
Atletico Tucuman
2
Huracan · on target
J. Caicedo
Huracan
0.9
Atletico Tucuman · on target
L. Díaz
Atletico Tucuman
1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Huracan
At home- 1.7
- pts/game
- 1.2
- scored
- 0.8
- conceded
- Scored in 14 of 21
- Clean sheet in 50%
When their goals arrive
Atletico Tucuman
Away- 0.7
- pts/game
- 0.9
- scored
- 1.4
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 19
- Clean sheet in 30%
When their goals arrive
Huracan · Recent form
- D0-0Atletico Tucuman
- L1-2Independ. Rivadavia
- W1-0Banfield
- L0-1Barracas Central
- L0-1Argentinos JRS
Atletico Tucuman · Recent form
- D0-0Huracan
- W2-0Central Cordoba de Santiago
- D0-0Independ. Rivadavia
- W3-0Talleres Cordoba
- W1-0River Plate
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Huracan vs Atletico Tucuman?
Golazo's model makes Huracan the more likely winner at 45%, with the draw at 32%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Huracan vs Atletico Tucuman?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-0, at 15%. The model projects 2 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Huracan vs Atletico Tucuman?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 40%, and over 2.5 goals at 33%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.