Match preview
Central Cordoba de Santiago vs San Lorenzo: projection vs result
Central Cordoba de Santiago
13 in the table · 16 pts from 16
San Lorenzo
7 in the table · 22 pts from 16
1–0
Final
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Central Cordoba de Santiago the more likely winner at 39%, against 27% for San Lorenzo and 34% for the draw. It projects 1.9 goals in total, with 0-0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%, and puts both teams scoring at 39%. It finished Central Cordoba de Santiago 1–0 San Lorenzo.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Central Cordoba de Santiago win
39%
Draw
34%
San Lorenzo win
27%
What we said, and what happened
2 of 3 called correctly
Published before kickoff, scored afterwards. We leave the misses up.
- Total goalsProjected 1.9Actual 1Missed
- Both teams scoreProjected 39%Actual NoCalled
- Over 2.5 goalsProjected 30%Actual NoCalled
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.1 – 0.8
Total goals 1.9
Both teams score
39%
Over 2.5 goals
30%
Over 1.5 goals
58%
Central Cordoba de Santiago clean sheet
43%
San Lorenzo clean sheet
35%
What stands out
Total goals 1.9
29% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Central Cordoba de Santiago 1.1 scored / 1.3 conceded · San Lorenzo 0.9 / 1.1 per game
match.offsides 4.2
20% above a typical match · League average 3.5
Central Cordoba de Santiago 2.4 + San Lorenzo 1.8 per game
Fouls 23.9
14% above a typical match · League average 21
Central Cordoba de Santiago 12.6 + San Lorenzo 11.3 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
R. Auzmendi
San Lorenzo
30%
Shots
R. Auzmendi
San Lorenzo
2.3
Central Cordoba de Santiago · on target
E. Naya
Central Cordoba de Santiago
0.7
San Lorenzo · on target
R. Auzmendi
San Lorenzo
1.4
Central Cordoba de Santiago · Recent form
- W1-0San Lorenzo
- L0-2Atletico Tucuman
- L0-1Gimnasia M.
- L1-2Boca Juniors
- D0-0Lanus
San Lorenzo · Recent form
- L0-1Central Cordoba de Santiago
- W1-0Gimnasia M.
- L0-1Lanus
- D1-1Deportivo Riestra
- L0-1Deportivo Recoleta
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Central Cordoba de Santiago vs San Lorenzo?
Golazo's model makes Central Cordoba de Santiago the more likely winner at 39%, with the draw at 34%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Central Cordoba de Santiago vs San Lorenzo?
The single most likely scoreline is 0-0, at 16%. The model projects 1.9 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Central Cordoba de Santiago vs San Lorenzo?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 39%, and over 2.5 goals at 30%.
More Liga Profesional matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.