Match preview
Lanus vs Instituto Cordoba: projection vs result
Lanus
6 in the table · 24 pts from 16
Instituto Cordoba
9 in the table · 21 pts from 16
0–1
Final
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Lanus the more likely winner at 40%, against 28% for Instituto Cordoba and 32% for the draw. It projects 2.1 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%, and puts both teams scoring at 44%. Behind that: Lanus have scored in 11 of 19 league games this season, Instituto Cordoba in 13 of 19. It finished Lanus 0–1 Instituto Cordoba.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Lanus win
40%
Draw
32%
Instituto Cordoba win
28%
What we said, and what happened
2 of 3 called correctly
Published before kickoff, scored afterwards. We leave the misses up.
- Total goalsProjected 2.1Actual 1Missed
- Both teams scoreProjected 44%Actual NoCalled
- Over 2.5 goalsProjected 36%Actual NoCalled
What our model expects
Built from each side's last six games, shrunk toward the league average so a small sample can't run away with it. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.2 – 0.9
Total goals 2.1
Both teams score
44%
Over 2.5 goals
36%
Over 1.5 goals
64%
Lanus clean sheet
39%
Instituto Cordoba clean sheet
31%
What stands out
Total goals 2.1
21% below a typical match · League average 2.7
Lanus 0.9 scored / 1.0 conceded · Instituto Cordoba 1.2 / 1.0 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
D. Aquino
Lanus
37%
Shots
M. Moreno
Lanus
2.2
Lanus · on target
M. Moreno
Lanus
1.3
Instituto Cordoba · on target
A. Luna
Instituto Cordoba
1
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Lanus
At home- 1.6
- pts/game
- 1
- scored
- 0.6
- conceded
- Scored in 11 of 19
- Clean sheet in 60%
When their goals arrive
Instituto Cordoba
Away- 1.1
- pts/game
- 0.7
- scored
- 1
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 19
- Clean sheet in 30%
When their goals arrive
Lanus · Recent form
- L0-1Instituto Cordoba
- L0-4Cienciano
- W1-0San Lorenzo
- W2-0Cienciano
- L1-2Instituto Cordoba
Instituto Cordoba · Recent form
- W1-0Lanus
- W2-1Platense
- L0-1Velez Sarsfield
- W2-1Lanus
- W2-0Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Lanus vs Instituto Cordoba?
Golazo's model makes Lanus the more likely winner at 40%, with the draw at 32%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Lanus vs Instituto Cordoba?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 15%. The model projects 2.1 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Lanus vs Instituto Cordoba?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 44%, and over 2.5 goals at 36%.
More Liga Profesional matches
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.