Match preview
Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City prediction
Sporting Kansas City
St. Louis City
Sporting Kansas City
15 in the table · 14 pts from 19
St. Louis City
5 in the table · 29 pts from 19
Wed, Aug 19, 08:00 PM
Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City
The short answer
Golazo's model makes St. Louis City the more likely winner at 55%, against 20% for Sporting Kansas City and 24% for the draw. It projects 3 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%, and puts both teams scoring at 58%. Behind that: Sporting Kansas City have scored in 11 of 19 league games this season, St. Louis City in 15 of 19.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Sporting Kansas City win
20%
Draw
24%
St. Louis City win
55%
What our model expects
Sporting Kansas CityPer gameSt. Louis CityNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1.1 – 1.9
Total goals 3
Both teams score
58%
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Over 1.5 goals
81%
Sporting Kansas City clean sheet
15%
St. Louis City clean sheet
33%
What stands out
Fouls 25.1
20% above a typical match · League average 21
Sporting Kansas City 10.8 + St. Louis City 14.3 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
M. Hartel
St. Louis City
32%
Shots
M. Hartel
St. Louis City
2.4
Sporting Kansas City · on target
D. Joveljić
Sporting Kansas City
0.9
St. Louis City · on target
M. Hartel
St. Louis City
1.3
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Sporting Kansas City
At home- 0.89
- pts/game
- 1.22
- scored
- 1.89
- conceded
- Scored in 11 of 19
- Clean sheet in 0%
When their goals arrive
St. Louis City
Away- 1.2
- pts/game
- 1.1
- scored
- 1.5
- conceded
- Scored in 15 of 19
- Clean sheet in 10%
When their goals arrive
Sporting Kansas City · Recent form
- L0-2Colorado Rapids
- L0-2Houston Dynamo
- L0-4Los Angeles FC
- W2-1Minnesota United FC
- L2-3St. Louis City
St. Louis City · Recent form
- W3-1San Jose Earthquakes
- D1-1Real Salt Lake
- W1-0Colorado Rapids
- W3-1Los Angeles Galaxy
- W3-2Sporting Kansas City
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City?
Golazo's model makes St. Louis City the more likely winner at 55%, with the draw at 24%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 11%. The model projects 3 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Sporting Kansas City vs St. Louis City?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 58%, and over 2.5 goals at 58%.
More MLS matches
- Orlando City SC vs FC CincinnatiAug 15
- Atlanta United FC vs New York Red BullsAug 15
- Charlotte vs Columbus CrewAug 15
- Toronto FC vs New England RevolutionAug 15
- CF Montreal vs DC UnitedAug 15
- Nashville SC vs Inter MiamiAug 15
- Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles GalaxyAug 15
- Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FCAug 15
Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.