Match preview
Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps prediction
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
9 in the table · 24 pts from 17
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 in the table · 34 pts from 17
Sun, Aug 16, 10:30 PM
Lumen Field, Seattle
The short answer
Golazo's model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the more likely winner at 49%, against 24% for Seattle Sounders and 28% for the draw. It projects 2.6 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 51%. Behind that: Seattle Sounders have scored in 13 of 17 league games this season, Vancouver Whitecaps in 14 of 17.
A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.
Who wins
Seattle Sounders win
24%
Draw
28%
Vancouver Whitecaps win
49%
What our model expects
Seattle SoundersPer gameVancouver WhitecapsNo book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.
Expected goals
1 – 1.5
Total goals 2.6
Both teams score
51%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Over 1.5 goals
74%
Seattle Sounders clean sheet
21%
Vancouver Whitecaps clean sheet
36%
What stands out
Cards 3.9
13% below a typical match · League average 4.5
Seattle Sounders 2.0 + Vancouver Whitecaps 1.9 per game
Corners
League average 5
Cards
League average 2.25
Shots
League average 12.5
Possession
Players to watch
Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.
Most likely scorer
B. White
Vancouver Whitecaps
29%
Shots
B. White
Vancouver Whitecaps
2.5
Seattle Sounders · on target
D. Musovski
Seattle Sounders
1
Vancouver Whitecaps · on target
B. White
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.4
The record behind it
What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.
Seattle Sounders
At home- 1.86
- pts/game
- 1.86
- scored
- 1.71
- conceded
- Scored in 13 of 17
- Clean sheet in 14%
When their goals arrive
Vancouver Whitecaps
Away- 1.5
- pts/game
- 2
- scored
- 1.5
- conceded
- Scored in 14 of 17
- Clean sheet in 13%
When their goals arrive
Seattle Sounders · Recent form
- W3-0Club Queretaro
- L0-3Toluca
- L1-2Portland Timbers
- L0-1Philadelphia Union
- L1-3Austin
Vancouver Whitecaps · Recent form
- D1-1Tigres UANL
- L1-3FC Juarez
- L0-1Atlante FC
- D1-1Los Angeles FC
- D0-0Minnesota United FC
This is the free half.
The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.
Common questions
Who will win Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
Golazo's model makes Vancouver Whitecaps the more likely winner at 49%, with the draw at 28%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.
What is the most likely score in Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.6 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.
Will both teams score in Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 51%, and over 2.5 goals at 47%.
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Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.