Match preview

Seattle Sounders vs Austin prediction

Seattle Sounders
v
Austin
522622
Seattle SoundersDrawAustin
Goals expectedBoth teams score54%Over 2.5 goals51%Total goals2.7
Why this pick +Our own read — no book has priced it

Seattle Sounders

11 in the table · 24 pts from 17

Austin

14 in the table · 17 pts from 18

Wed, Aug 19, 09:30 PM

Lumen Field, Seattle

The short answer

Golazo's model makes Seattle Sounders the more likely winner at 52%, against 22% for Austin and 26% for the draw. It projects 2.7 goals in total, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%, and puts both teams scoring at 54%. Behind that: Seattle Sounders have scored in 13 of 17 league games this season, Austin in 14 of 19.

A projection from each side's recent form, not a prediction anyone should treat as certain. Published before kick-off and graded in public afterwards.

Who wins

Seattle Sounders win

52%

Draw

26%

Austin win

22%

Most likely scorelines1113%1010%2110%

What our model expects

Seattle SoundersPer gameAustin
LWLLLLast 5LDWWL
1.86Points per game0.30
1.9Scored1.0
1.7Expected goals1.0
1.7Conceded2.9
1.6Cards2.3
10.2Shots11.3
4.8Corners5.3
48Possession52

No book has priced this one yet, so it's our own read: attack and defence ratings fitted across the whole competition at once, which prices in who each side has actually played rather than treating a soft schedule as form. Projections, not certainties.

Expected goals

1.7 1

Total goals 2.7

Both teams score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

Over 1.5 goals

77%

Seattle Sounders clean sheet

36%

Austin clean sheet

18%

What stands out

  • Cards 3.9

    13% below a typical match · League average 4.5

    Seattle Sounders 1.6 + Austin 2.3 per game

Corners

League average 5

Seattle Sounders4.8
Austin5.3

Cards

League average 2.25

Seattle Sounders1.6
Austin2.3

Shots

League average 12.5

Seattle Sounders10.2
Austin11.3

Possession

Seattle Sounders48
Austin52

Players to watch

Season rates per 90 minutes, from players with enough minutes to mean something.

Most likely scorer

M. Uzuni

Austin

23%

Shots

M. Uzuni

Austin

1.8

Seattle Sounders · on target

D. Musovski

Seattle Sounders

1

Austin · on target

M. Uzuni

Austin

0.9

The record behind it

What each side has actually done this season — the counts under the percentages above.

Seattle Sounders

At home
1.86
pts/game
1.86
scored
1.71
conceded
  • Scored in 13 of 17
  • Clean sheet in 14%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Austin

Away
0.3
pts/game
1
scored
2.9
conceded
  • Scored in 14 of 19
  • Clean sheet in 0%

When their goals arrive

ScoredConceded

Seattle Sounders · Recent form

  • L1-2Guadalajara Chivas
  • W3-0Club Queretaro
  • L0-3Toluca
  • L1-2Portland Timbers
  • L0-1Philadelphia Union

Austin · Recent form

  • L1-2FC Dallas
  • D1-1Club America
  • W3-0Puebla
  • W2-0Club Tijuana
  • L0-1Colorado Rapids

This is the free half.

The projection above is what our model thinks. When it disagrees with the bookmakers by enough to be worth backing, that becomes a pick on the daily board — and every one of those is graded in public, win or lose.

Common questions

Who will win Seattle Sounders vs Austin?

Golazo's model makes Seattle Sounders the more likely winner at 52%, with the draw at 26%. It is a projection from recent form, not a certainty.

What is the most likely score in Seattle Sounders vs Austin?

The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 13%. The model projects 2.7 goals in total. Any one exact score is unlikely on its own.

Will both teams score in Seattle Sounders vs Austin?

Golazo's model puts both teams scoring at 54%, and over 2.5 goals at 51%.

More MLS matches

All MLS fixtures and the table

Analysis and entertainment only. Golazo does not accept bets or hold funds. 18+.